Crossing the Sea 2017year 6month29day (one)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

6

month

29

day

Focus this week:
6month29day(Thursday)
Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States
Four week average in the United States
Number of Americans reapplying for unemployment benefits
美国第一季商业获利修订
Season 1 in the United StatesGDPMonth on month annual rate final value
美国第一季最终销售终值
美国第一季消费者支出终值
Season 1 in the United StatesGDP平减指数终值
Season 1 in the United StatesPCEFinal value of price index
US Season 1 CorePCEFinal value of price index

6month30day(Friday)
U.S.A5Monthly actual personal expenditure rate
U.S.A5Monthly personal income rate
U.S.A5月经调整后的个人支出月率
U.S.A5Monthly CorePCEprice index
U.S.A5monthPCEprice index
U.S.A5Dallas Federal ReservePCE
U.S.A6Month ChicagoPMI
U.S.A6Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month


Important economic data released today:   
20：00 Germany6Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Initial monthly rate‧Forecast remains unchanged‧Previous value-0.2%
20：00 Germany6Monthly consumer price index(CPI)Annual rate initial value‧forecast+1.4%‧Previous value+1.5%
20：00 Germany6Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Initial monthly rate‧Forecast remains unchanged‧Previous value-0.2%
20：00 Germany6Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)Annual rate initial value‧forecast+1.3%‧Previous value+1.4%
20：30 Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States(6month24Day and Week)‧forecast24.0ten thousand people‧Previous value24.1ten thousand people
20：30 Four week average in the United States(6month24Day and Week)‧Previous value24.475ten thousand people
20：30 Number of Americans reapplying for unemployment benefits(6month17Day and Week)‧forecast194.0ten thousand people‧Previous value194.4ten thousand people
20：30 美国第一季商业获利修订‧Previous value-2.5%
20：30 US Q1 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)Month on month annual rate final value‧forecast+1.2%‧Previous value+1.2%
20：30 美国第一季最终销售终值‧forecast+2.2%‧Previous value+2.2%
20：30 美国第一季消费者支出终值‧Previous value+0.6%
20：30 US Q1 Gross Domestic Product(GDP)平减指数终值‧forecast+2.2%‧Previous value+2.2%
20：30 Personal consumption expenditure in the first quarter of the United States(PCE)Final value of price index‧forecast+2.4%‧Previous value+2.4%
20：30 Core personal consumption expenditure in the first quarter of the United States(PCE)Final value of price index‧forecast+2.1%‧Previous value+2.1%


News of the Week
New YorkFED总裁：资金状况趋缓是美联储收紧政策的另一个理由
明尼亚波利斯联储总裁质疑为何要急于升息

IMF下调今明两年美国经济增长预估，称特朗普财政刺激前景仍不确定

U.S.A5Monthly durable goods orders have decreased compared to the previous month1.1%
U.S.A5月扣除国防的耐久财订单下降0.6%
U.S.A5月扣除运输的耐久财订单较前月增长0.1%
U.S.A5月扣除飞机的非国防资本财订单较前月下降0.2%
U.S.A5月建筑许可修正后仍为下滑4.9%，年率修正后仍为116.810000 households
U.S.A6The monthly consumer confidence index is118.9
Richmond Federal Reserve Bank6The monthly comprehensive manufacturing index is positive7
U.S.A4Monthly standard and standard/CASE-SHILLER 20个大都会地区房价指数经季节性调整后较前月上升0.3%
U.S.A4Monthly standard and standard/CASE-SHILLER 20个大都会地区房价较上年同期上升5.7%


6month28day
LondongoldMorning order price:1251.60
London gold afternoon fixing price:1248.00


Today's Introduction

市场预期英国、欧盟和加拿大宽松政策即将结束

美元周四跌至年内低位，因几家主要央行的一系列鹰派言论表明，超宽松货币政策时期可能即将结束，美国不再专美于前。美元所获支撑减弱，因投资者意识到，在升息方面，美国联邦储备理事会(FED)可能并非独行客。英国央行总裁卡尼周三表示，鉴于英国经济接近以最大产能运转，可能需要调高利率，而且英国央行将在“未来几个月”讨论何时升息。这令很多人感到意外。加拿大央行则更进一步。两位加拿大央行高官暗示，最早可能7Monthly tightening policy. 本周稍早，欧洲央行总裁德拉吉称可能需要缩减刺激，从而使货币政策在经济回升的情况下不会变得更加宽松。欧洲央行消息人士周三称，市场过度解读欧洲央行德拉吉谈话，试图淡化其影响，但未能阻止欧元兑美元触及一年高位。欧元兑美元周四已经升至1.14水平上方，过去数天攀升了3%。美元指数跌至10月以来最低点95.70Below.


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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)