王牌精英：原油涨了，黄金白银会涨吗？它们之间有什么关系？

Ace Elite:crude oil涨了，gold白银会涨吗？它们之间有什么关系？
　　原油、黄金、白银三者都是目前金融投资市场上比较热门的投资理财产品，他们之间有着紧密的联系又相互有所制衡。

　　原油与黄金白银之间的关系：
　　黄金白银是通胀之下的保值品，而原油价格上涨意味着通胀预期上升，经济发展的不确定性增加。这时候黄金白银的保值避险作用就会受到投资者的青睐。
　　一般来说，黄金价格与原油价格之间存在着正相关的关系，原油价格的上涨预示着黄金价格也要上涨，原油价格下跌预示着黄金价格也要下跌。从中长期来看黄金与原油几个走势是基本保持一致的，只是大小幅度会有所区别。
　　原油价格影响黄金白银价格的主要原因：
　　1、原油价格上涨会催生通货膨胀据。相关资料显示：原油价格每上涨10%，通货膨胀率就上涨约1%，通货膨胀导致人们手中的货币购买能力下降，而购买黄金可以抵御通货膨胀保值，因此黄金的需求量扩大，从而导致黄金价格上涨。
　　2、因为美国经济总量和原油消费量均列世界第一，油价波动将直接影响世界经济尤其是美国经济的发展。而美国经济走势直接影响美国资产质量的变化，从而会引起美元的升跌。据国际货币基金组织估算，油价每上涨5美元，将削减全球经济增长率约0.3个百分点，美国经济增长率则可能下降约0.4Percentage points.
　　3、在国际市场上，黄金价格和原油价格都是以美元来报价的。美元是foreign exchange交换中的基础货币，也是国际支付和Foreign exchange transactions中的主要货币，在国际外汇市场中占有非常重要的地位，国际贸易都是以美元来进行交易的。美元波动会引发黄金价格和原油价格同方向的波动，当美元上涨，黄金价格和原油价格都会下跌;美元下跌时，黄金价格和原油价格都会上涨。在黄金白银投资过程中长线或者短线往往都需要结合到美元的走势进行分析。
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