Quantitative testing of the "gold content" of performance driven stock increases

About a month until the end of the first half of the year, in the highly anticipated market atmosphere of white horse stocks, which listed companies have the most "valuable" performance in their semi annual reports? According to relevant data statistics, based on the net profit base after deducting non recurring expenses in the first half of last year2000More than 10000 yuan, and the expected increase in performance in the first half of this year is50%The above is the "threshold", and the shortlisted ones have a total of118The common reason for the pre increase of listed companies is the recovery of the industry. Meanwhile, this year's first quarter report shows that the above118Many companies have been joined by institutional investors.

Sorting out this118When establishing a company, it is roughly divided into four tiers based on the pre increase ratio.
First level echelon28Company, expected2017The year-on-year growth rate of net profit in the first half of the year was50%to107.50%。 this28Our company mainly involves industries such as electronics, chemicals, media, building decoration, and mechanical equipment.
Second level echelon41A company is expected to report a year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of the year60%to189.04%。 this41Our company mainly involves industries such as chemical, electronics, media, non-ferrous metals, textiles and clothing, and pharmaceuticals and biology.
Third tier echelon31A company with a year-on-year increase in performance100%to240%。 this31Our company mainly deals with chemical, automotive, building materials, pharmaceuticals, biology, and mechanical equipment.
Fourth level echelon16A company with a year-on-year increase in performance200%to650%。 this16Our company mainly involves chemical, media, light industry manufacturing, and electrical equipment.

Faced with the significant increase in mid year performance of these individual stocks, we will now use quantitative data to test the "gold content" of some of these stocks. Let's also pay attention to the expected increase in performance540%to570%Nanfeng Chemical（000737）The reason is that the transfer of assets from the old factory area of the parent company is about to be completed, and the company will confirm the relevant profit and loss of demolition compensation according to the demolition agreement. Non operating income has significantly increased, resulting in a significant year-on-year increase in net profit.

However, based on the current quantitative data of the stock, from this year's perspective3So far at the end of the month, the overall dominant momentum data of the stock has shown a bearish trend, indicating that there has been no incremental long capital intervention in the stock. Recently, following the overall market rebound, the stock has shown a slight bullish trend. However, the number of days and intensity of this bullish momentum cannot drive up the strength of the stock price.




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Next, let's take a look at the pre increase476.34%to525.24%The Red Sun（000525）The significant growth in its performance is attributed not only to the strong production and sales of its main products, as well as the tight supply and stable prices, but also to the emphasis on innovation and transformation, that is, to take the lead in realizing the transformation from traditional chemical pesticides to biochemical agriculture(Biochemical pesticides, biochemical animal nutrition, biomass new energy)The transformation of the ecosystem.

However, based on the quantitative characteristics of the stock, the overall trend is still dominated by blue and green in the near future, indicating that the stock does not have much bullish momentum in its current position. Even with a significant increase in performance, it is currently difficult to push the stock price to strengthen.




Therefore, when facing the significant increase in performance of individual stocks, it is advisable to test the actual "gold content" of these stocks from the perspective of quantitative data, so as to find the true value of the goods from them“gold”。

Important note: By adding“bull591”By adding Bor's official WeChat account, you can timely understand the quantitative data of the market industry and individual stocks, and also check the changes in individual stock data.