金霄霸主：5.16晚评黄金原油走势分析及操作建议

金霄霸主：5.16Late reviewgoldcrude oilTrend analysis and operational suggestions

Introduction:

There is no eternal bull market or bear market in any market. Understanding how to temporarily avoid the edge of a bear market is more important than understanding how to aggressively enter a bull market. Understanding how to avoid and control risks shows that you have gradually embarked on the right investment path. An investor who only sees opportunities and forgets risks is trading by luck, not by true investment philosophy. Earning frequently is more important than making big profits. It not only makes your financial snowball bigger and bigger, but also helps you maintain a good mindset.

Message surface:

全球股市飙升限制了现货黄金价格的涨幅。周一现货黄金价格在欧洲时段受到避险升温和美元回落的支撑上涨，但在纽约尾盘美股飙升的背景下，现货黄金价格收回了日内大部分的涨幅。

随着美联储六月议息会议的临近，金霄老师认为如果美联储真的准备加息，那么现货黄金价格可能跌破1220位置。但是，由于未来美联储加息仍依赖于经济数据，现货黄金价格的下行空间是有限的。美国经济前景如果不发生重大的变化，甚至可能低于这个价格。

Technical analysis of gold:

现货黄金昨日晚间冲高1237Fallback to1229附近，日线收线墓碑线说明上方存在一定的压力。目前日线指标macd死叉缩量灵动指标sto勾头向上修复，短期日线震荡偏向反弹。而目前均线和中轨粘合压制在1245-1248.5附近。该位置是目前的重要压力位，因为日线蜡烛图自从跌破均线MA60之后反弹一直未有突破或到达该点位。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

1、建议白盘1230多单现价1235附近注意获利继续持有看1240-1245出局；

2Suggestions1245-46附近参与空单，止损1250, look at the goal5-8dollar;

3、建议空仓的回落1232可进多，止损1227，目标不变。

Crude oil analysis:

昨日早间10:40左右，沙特能源部长法利赫在“一带一路”会议上致辞时称，沙特和俄罗斯一致同意减产协议应延长，协议到期时间应该是2018In the first quarter of the year, this decision will be made5month25To be made at the daily meeting. Subsequently, Russian Energy Minister Novak also stated thatOPECThe production reduction agreement should be delayed2018year3月。消息公布后，油价受此利好因素提振，短线拉升，油价直接拉至48.61dollar/Bucket.

从四小时图看，K线延续前期震荡拉升阶梯走势，布林轨开口向上运行，均线指标向上排列，MACDRed energy column release,KDJ三线超买线附近向下拐头，综合来看，短期多头趋势明显，但仍有回落风险，目前原油上方压力在前期高点50-50.2附近，下方支撑看48.3-48.5一线，今日操作回落做多为主。

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

1、49.5-49.7Frontline entry, stop loss0.4, Objective48.5-48.7Below USD

2、48.3-48.5First line advance, stop loss0.3, Objective49.5-49.7Above USD

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网络发布存在延迟盘中行情多变，以上分析不做具体进场点位，仅供参考）

Today's key focus on financial data and events

① 09:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia announces5Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

② 14:45 France4monthCPIMonthly rate

③ 16:00 IEAPublish monthly crude oil market report

④ 16:30 britain4monthCPIMonthly rate, UK4Monthly Retail Price Index Monthly Rate

⑤ 17:00 Germany5monthZEWEconomic Prosperity Index, Eurozone5monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index

⑥ 17:00 eurozone3月季调后贸易帐、欧元区第一季度GDPAnnual rate correction value

⑦ 20:30 U.S.A4Annualized total monthly construction of new homes, USA4Total monthly construction permits

⑧ 21:15 U.S.A4Monthly industrial output rate

⑨ The next day04:30 From the United States to5month12Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory

金霄寄语：

投资是个长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。聪明人总是结伴而行，一群人才能走得更远。把握做单时机，掌握行情动向，方可百战百胜。