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原油库存五周连降

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However, the United Statescrude oil库存已经录得过去五周内连续下降,这令原油多头信心大增,油市有望重归均衡之路。
北京时间上周三(5month10日)美国能源信息署(EIA)公布数据显示,美国5month5Day and WeekEIA原油库存减少约530万桶,降幅远超预期。美国原油库存自3月底以来已经累计下降1300Ten thousand barrels.
具体数据显示,美国5month5Day and WeekEIAReduction in crude oil inventory524.7Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease200Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased93Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory15Ten thousand barrels, expected increase20Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value19.1Ten thousand barrels; Reduced inventory of refined oil158.7Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease60Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased56.2Ten thousand barrels.
北京时间上周六(5month13In the early morning of the day1点,美国油服公司贝克休斯(Baker Hughes)公布数据显示,美国5month12日当周石油钻井总数再度增加9座,连续17周增加,创2015year4月以来最高,延续10个月以来的复苏周期。
具体数据显示,美国5month12The total number of oil drilling in the current week has increased9Seat to712座,自2015year10Since the beginning of the month2次超过700座,在过去28Mid week27周出现增加,过去17周连续增加,预期为703座,前值为703座,去年同期为318Seat.
尽管上周油价重挫至五个月低点,欧佩克减产效果归零,然而美国钻井平台数依然增加,因为钻井平台开工的决策是在几个月以前油价处在上升周期的时候做出的。
根据历史数据,美国原油库存通常在每年的前4个月逐步上升,5月初触及年度高位,之后会缓慢下降,直至9月中旬。从2007Year to2016年的十年间,美国原油库存在每年前4个月平均增加4500Ten thousand barrels.
2017年美国原油库存在前3个月的增速较往年更快,累计增加5600万桶,但是3月底之后就开始大幅回落。
Hu Wuweikkbkfwthink3月底以来原油库存大幅回落是因为炼厂产能利用率的高涨,但是高产能利用率很难持续。现在的问题是,如果美国炼厂产能利用率回落至长期水平,美国原油库存能否维持当前降幅;尽管如此,美国原油库存的连续下降给原油多头带来信心,油市有望得到提振
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