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Tuesday(5month9day)在法国大选之后,市场风险偏好情绪高涨,恐慌指数创下20年新低。但欧元和gold的品种都出现了获利了结的迹象。当前市场焦点已经从法国大选重新转移到欧美央行政策前景。
分析师称,法国选举结果几无悬念,黄金虽然下挫,但已经比预期要强,因上周有大量的多头清仓,目前黄金能够持稳在1220一线之上并不意外。上周黄金下跌3.2%Yes25周以来跌幅最大的一周。在黄金实物需求方面4月份表现相当不错,据知名贵金属分析公司GFMS的数据,由于要为4月传统节日购置黄金,当月印度黄金进口数量达到75吨,与去年同期相比翻了一番。4月最后一周是印度传统的佛陀满月节,黄金是最佳的节庆礼物,需求旺盛,4月印度现货黄金相对于伦敦金也出现了的溢价。上周印度的现货黄金溢价从一周前的1.5dollar/盎司上升到了2dollar/盎司。世界黄金协会表示,印度第一季度黄金需求已经同比增长了15%。实物黄金需求的回升,对黄金价格形成了一定的支撑。不过,在法国大选之后,美联储调整货币政策又放到了桌面之上,在强烈的加息预期下,金价有可能进一步走低至1200-1180dollar/Ounces, therefore the next trend of gold is not optimistic.
5.9crude oilOperational strategy
American crude oilfuturesIncome increase0.21USD, increase0.45%Report46.43dollar/桶;布伦特原油期货收涨0.24USD, increase0.49%Report49.34dollar/Bucket.
US crude oil operation strategy:
1Radical46.7美元做空原油,稳健47.1Empty, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target45.5美元,跌破继续看周五低点44Below;
2、初步反弹多单44.5美元进场,止损0.5US dollars, look at the target46Gateway;
1Suggest using16.45-16.55Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.03Points, target16.15-16.05Near the US dollar;
2Suggest using16.2Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.03Points, target16.4-16.45Near the US dollar;