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马克龙赢得法国大选,5/8Gold analysis recommendations

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Fundamentals:
马克龙当选法国总统不会对本周市场产生重大影响
在马克龙于4month23日法国总统大选首轮取得领先优势后,市场已经提前消化了其当选总统带来的积极影响,预计其在终轮中的获胜并不会对本周市场造成显著影响;下一步马克龙需要所在党派在国民议会(下议院)中获得多数,这样才有可能实现其在竞选时的承诺。[法国国民议会选举分两轮,分别为当地时间6month11Rihe6month18日,选出共577名议员]

沙特能源部长法利赫:预期中国石油需求增速与去年相符。当前美国crude oil需求稳定,预计美国原油库存将减少。油市最近收到需求增幅变慢、维护费用和非欧佩克供应增速等季节性因素影响。油市最坏的情况已经过去,市场趋向再平衡。油市将继续从去年低点中恢复。担心原油需求近期将达到峰值。替换性能源将从小规模起步,但是增长将遇到阻碍,如补贴方面。将继续探索新的发展机会,以印度为首要目标。将在满足亚洲不断增长的原油需求上扮演更重要的作用。沙特已经和亚洲进行了长期的合作。未来25年几乎全部石油需求增长都会来自于亚洲。亚洲是全球最重要的市场。要尽快加强沙特对亚洲能源供给的带头作用。


Technical aspect:
今日开盘价是1234.2,最高是1234.3,最低是1229.6,现价是1230.4。开盘后,金价直接出现小幅下跌回调。莫小姐从4From an hourly perspective,gold出现一根大阳线。但应该是假反转。因为这条阳线盖过前面三条阴线。酒田战法中这种形态叫反打前三。是假反转的信号。所以我们可以依然选择做空。 而且,这个形态刚刚好在一1270为高点,以1221为低点的斐波那契回调线的0.236上形成。有机会与现在与将要形成的阴线形成乌云盖顶,或者看跌吞没。如果行情向下走,下面的空间不会小。


Investment advice
可以现价1231Empty order, stop loss1235Look1226Look again1221.

Today's key focus on financial data and events2017year5month8day Monday
① 10:00 China4Monthly trade account
② 10:50 China4Monthly trade account in US dollars
③ 15:30 britain4monthHalifaxMonthly rate of housing price index after quarterly adjustment
④ 16:30 eurozone5monthSentixInvestor confidence index
⑤ 22:00 U.S.A4Monthly Employment Market Condition Index(LMCI)




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