5.5Early evaluation of crude oil

Ju Jin Ba Ye:5.5Early review

Non farm heavy hits,goldcrude oilAnalysis and Operational strategy


　　writing/Ju Jin Ba Ye/Free technical guidanceVLetter:TA3032   

Message surface:

According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve6The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is75.2%，9The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is85.5%Before the announcement of the interest rate decision,6The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is66.3%，9The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is80.1%）

法国大选辩论结束后的民调显示马克龙对勒庞优势进一步扩大，达到63%than34%。

美国当周初请失业金人数下滑，仍处于30Below the Wan Guan Kou, the performance was better than expected, and at the same time4month22The number of unemployment benefits renewed for the current week has reached17The annual low point indicates a tightening of the US job market, providing support for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike next month

总结：黄金需求量下降以及美联储的言论带来持续影响导致黄金下滑，而法国大选马克龙优势的扩大，接近于是对手的二倍，与勒庞脱欧派不同，马克龙如若当选那么将是一个利空黄金的重大消息面，而出请利空金银是昨晚ADPOne manifestation of this is that the non farm payroll forecast is also bearish. Under this series of bearish attacks, gold has shown a unilateral decline without a significant rebound.

Gold market analysis:

从日线来看，高点在逐渐下移，低点被持续刷新，黄金受小非农、美联储数据影响，黄金持续走低，美联储的议息会议，加快了加息的进程，无疑在提醒六月份加息的概率大大提升了，从日线图来看收大阴线，5、10The moving average forms a dead cross and runs downwards, with prices affected by5Daily moving average suppression,KDJThe indicators diverge downwards,MACDThe indicator has a dead cross and increased volume, with a four hour chart showing a bearish trend. There are signs of oversold in the short term, and focus on the upper part of the chart during the day1243Frontline pressure level, short-term support level below1220Pay attention below the midline1200，1180On the front line, overall, it is recommended to rebound and focus on short selling at high levels.

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

非农前：反弹1233Entry empty order, stop loss1235Take a look below1218Reduce positions,1210Out, radical can enter in batches in advance

非农后：预计行情是利空的，如果利空那么将会是一个很大的跌幅

行情瞬息万变，具体操作以实盘为主，如果对于近期把握不大或者有套单的朋友，可以联系老师。

Analysis of crude oil market:

原油方面继续走弱，近日油市几乎被利空消息淹没，OPECDue to the rebound in production in Angola and the United Arab Emirates,4Monthly production reduction compliance rate92%Slide down to90%Meanwhile, Saudi Crown Prince expects oil prices to only rise to the most optimistic level55dollar/The comments of the barrel also severely undermined market confidence, leading to a rapid decline in oil prices during the US trading session. So in the next operation, it is recommended to focus on low and high, and pay attention to the top46.4Follow below45..0Frontline support.

Crude oil trading strategy:

1.proposal45USD multiple entry, stop loss0.3US dollars, target direction46.4；

2.proposal46.4Empty order entry, stop loss0.3US dollars, target direction45Gateway