Huifa Zen Gold:4.20早评黄金原油行情分析及操作建议

　　前言：价格不会绝对跟随某一种特定的方法跳动，它的韵律是在不断的转换，市场很简单，人性很复杂，价格的跳动无处不在，而参与市场的人的情感却受新闻以及经济数据等因素所左右。尽管价格运动有高度的随机性，但市场并不完全随机的，市场唯一的确定性就是不确定性，但市场的趋势与拐点可以确定，在混沌无序的市场中存在着有序的规律，经验可以过时，但原则永远不变，市场的主力操盘手法可以变，但人性在市场面前起伏的情绪千年不变。
　　
　　goldMessage: Wednesday(4month19day)国际现货黄金因获利回吐而下挫，美市盘中最低下探至1275.60dollar/盎司，金价一度跌破1280一线，盘中又现巨量抛单，金价一度短线跳水，振幅近10美元，但未能如昨日般迅速反弹，走势较弱，但地缘政治对金价仍是支撑。投资者对朝鲜和法国大选的担忧仍支撑避险资产。
　　
　　黄金技术面解析：黄金周初行情最高至1290附近回落，不过目前行情依旧企稳于1276上方。日线上金价回归布林带内运行，布林带继续开口向上，MACD成金叉运行，多头能量柱开始缩量，KDJ已经进入超买区勾头向下，多头上行势能减缓，上方1293形成阻力，日线不宜过分看涨；4小时图上看，金价弱势回撤并没有下破1280支撑，有利于多头可视为技术性回踩1280的支撑。综合来看，鉴于避险情绪的消减，金价回归技术面的修整，那么日内走势就很关键了，回调重点关注1280位置支撑，其次是1273重要的支撑位，反弹需关注1290附近破位情况，如果不破行情将会走震荡，黄金今日操作上建议反弹做空为主。低多为辅。
　 　
Golden Operation Strategy:
　　
　　1、1275-1276Long nearby, stop loss1272, Objective1288-1290Nearby;
　　
　　2、1285-1287Short nearby, stop loss1290Above, target1280-1279, take a break to see1265。
　　
　　crude oil消息面：北京时间周三（4month19Day)22:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published as of4month14Decrease in inventory of crude oil depot during the current week103.4万桶，低于预期的减少147Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease216.6万桶。数据公布后，油价短线下跌。美国4month14日当周精炼油库存大幅下降，原油总库存也录得连续第二周下滑，但EIA汽油库存大增，国内总产量也升至2015year8月以来最高，受此影响美油在数据公布后一度下跌至52.17dollar/Bucket.
　　
　　原油技术面解析：晚间EIA库存数据如慧法禅金预期的一致，与早间API同向利空。小时图走成一波小台阶震荡回落修正。伴随着连续的探高回落，但始终未能突破53.60的压力，白盘自52.7美元附近开盘后，震荡下行一波，欧盘时段最低至52.14美元一线，随后获得支撑反弹，美盘时段触及52.85压力位受阻下滑，可以看到直接一根大阴线打下来，刷新日内低点至52.1，日线继续收取一根阴K线，最可怕的是原油并未停止下跌趋势，一直跌到了近期以来的一个最低点50.51，收盘停在了50.93的尴尬位置。从小时图上来看，原油将走一波回调，短线上的操作，慧法禅金是看一波短多的
　　
Crude oil operation strategy:
　　
　　1、50.8.0-50.0Buy long near the US dollar, stop loss0.3, Objective51.5Near the US dollar;
　　
　　2、51.6Short near the US dollar, stop loss0.3, Objective51.3Near the US dollar;
　　
The primary principle of investment is to avoid risks. If risks cannot be avoided, any amount of money earned will one day be returned. Every person's success has its own methods, and investment trading must also have its principles. The foundation of trading is to accumulate small gains and fight against large gains. However, many people forget their original intention and prioritize their interests, yet hang risks on the wall. They are unaware of the fragility and insignificance of individuals in the market. If they do not understand how to avoid risks, they are like a small boat sailing in the sea, ready to be overturned at any time by the wind and waves. Stop loss is a topic we often talk about, but there are always people who touch the red line. Reversing the trend is the acceleration of death, but there are always people who use their lifelong beliefs to carry it to the end. When success falls short and the situation is difficult to recover, many people cannot accept the result of short positions and desperate situations, but still cannot remember not setting a stop loss. Errors can happen at any time, and temptation is everywhere. Without rules, there is no square. This rule is the red line, and this rule is an invisible trap. If a trader opens their trading records and identifies the trades that caused them losses, and summarizes the reasons, it indicates that they are close to profitability.
　　
Wen/Huifa Zen Gold