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Ye Wenxi:EIA库存与原油价格的关系

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  一般认为,当EIA库存数据增加,表明市场供过于求,市场消费动力不足,无法消化过剩的crude oil,这将使得油价下跌。
  另一方面,如果EIA库存数据减少,则说明市场对原油需求旺盛,推动了生产,从而导致油价上升。
  根据近30年以来的数据显示,EIA库存与原油价格基本呈反比的关系,大体符合以上推论。
Ye Wenxi:EIA库存与原油价格的关系498 / author:Ye Wenxi / PostsID:555341


TonightEIA库存数据重磅来袭,我们需要如何应战?
  首先,我们把EIA数据分为数据公布前,公布时,及公布后三部分来详细解读。
  第一波:EIAPreviously, expected market
In theEIAago30分钟,我们着重分析EIAData leading indicators, if the above data is positive, the market generally expectsEIA数据将表现出色,那么我们可以得出结论,原油将受到打压。其中尤其值得参考的是俗称“小EIA”Drilling data for.
  第二波:EIApublish
In theEIAAfter the announcement, until12Point. During this period, the data will be instantly reflected in the market. The crude oil market is fast and intense, and it is also the market with the greatest profit and the fastest profit, which is difficult for ordinary investors to grasp.
  对于这段时间的行情,也有许多不同的方法。
  1、双向挂单。即在EIABefore publication3Minute, hang one3Multiple orders and one high order hanging around the dot3Set the low hanging empty order around o'clock before hanging it5点的获利。一单成交后取消另一单。
  缺点就是行情波动过快,双向扫损,或者行情达不到,则需要手动平仓。此类交易手法要求动手迅速,而且坚决果断不可恋战,对投资者执行力,风险承担能力等要求高。
  2、在消息公布前约3分钟按消息预期做单。这种则比较简单,按消息预期同向做一单,设置止盈与止损,一般盈亏比至少在2:1,用小亏博大盈,这种做三次EIA成功一次一般能保本。
  3、数据公布后,迅速顺势做单。顾名思义,就是在EIA数据公布以后,迅速分析市行情,顺势而为操作,注意及时止损止盈。缺点是行情宽幅震荡下进场点位防止追涨杀跌,对交易平台的敏感度要求较高,对投资者研判能力也较高。
  第三波:EIAAfter publication
  EIAAfter data release30分钟后,原油行情相对趋于稳定。投资者可以根据消息的实际情况,利好或者利空,结合K线形态和均线系统,再做回调或者趁反弹顺势而为。
  激动的一晚,合理的技巧遇上大行情,不赚钱的理由只有不操作。

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