Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD4month17Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

Deng Fute:
AUD/美元日线图对均线系统形成反复穿越，中期的横盘震荡局面持续。从小时图走势来看，澳元/美元经过4month12日以来的连续冲高，短线上行到0.7595遇阻在0.7550-0.7595范围内调整，短线调整过程中围绕上行高点有构筑次要节奏的迹象，预计澳元经过连续的调整突破区间短线的涨势持续。短线支撑0.7550,0.7525;resistance0.7615。
Dahua Bank:
AUD/美元：中性，短期低点形成，反弹看向0.7630。本行继续维持此前观点，即上周三的低点0.7475为短期底部，预计反弹走高至0.7630。动能指标良好，上述猜测实现可能性较大。除非澳元重返0.7505下方，否则仍持有上述观点不变。
　　FX168：
AUD/美元处于第四浪之中，预计汇价将继续下看第二个支撑0.7505，然后看向第三个支撑同时也是0.618%回撤位的0.7450水平。日均实际波动率：43圌点。
　　Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
　　商品货币：今天公布的中国第一季度GDPYear-on-year growth6.9%, month on month growth1.3%，市场预期同比增长6.8%. China3月工业增加值同比增7.6%，远高于预期，也远高于前值。一并公布的零售额也远高于预期，固定资产投资数据也高于预期。在整体数据积极的情况澳元并无太大圌波动。技术面上，澳元在前期重要支撑位获得支撑，短线动能指标转强，反弹可能延续。


Event discussion:
Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values
20:30U.S.A4月纽约联储制造业物价获得指数8.8Waiting
U.S.A4月纽约联储制造业物价支付指数31.0Waiting
U.S.A4月纽约联储制造业新订单指数21.3Waiting
U.S.A4New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month1⒍415.5Waiting
U.S.A4月纽约联储制造业就业指数8.8Waiting
22:00加拿大全国经济信心指数(to0414)58.9Waiting
22:00U.S.A4monthNAHBHouse Price Index7170Waiting
Focus:2017year4month17daygoldcrude oilfutures市场行情分析与foreign exchange交易策略（https://www.vantagefx.cn/waihuifenxi/f17041701/）
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