覃汐妍：4.7 Suggestions for morning operation of spot gold and non-agricultural layout

　　覃汐妍：4.7 goods in stockgoldMorning operation suggestions and non-agricultural layout

　　基本面

　　在过去三个月美国股市一度屡创历史记录新高，主要是因为市场预期美国总统特朗普将履行他的竞选承诺，比如减税、放松管制、修订对外贸易的政策重点保护美国本土制造业，市场还预期特朗普将推出的财政刺激政策和基建政策将推高通货膨胀，并在未来几年延长当前美国经济增长的周期。

However, due to the lack of support from enough Republicans, the most sensational Trump pushed bill to replace Obama's health care reform policy was not passed by the Congress, which significantly reduced the market's risk appetite and dragged down the US stock market: the US stock market has fallen from its historical high and there is a risk of further correction, and the yield of the US 10-year treasury bond bonds has also begun to fall and test2.33%Important support, once it falls below this level or further falls towards it2.13%。

From this perspective, the real interest rate in the United States lacks further upward momentum. On the contrary, the possibility of a downward trend is relatively high, which will provide support for the gold market.

On the other hand, the United States3The monthly non farm employment population data is about to be released, with previous values23.5, expected18This will once again provide momentum for the rise of gold.

Technical aspect

On Thursday morning, it slightly rose to1258One line, touching above200The daily moving average suppressed and fell, reaching its lowest point1249On the front line, the tail end fluctuated1252The front line fluctuates and consolidates. From a technical perspective, the weekly bearish candlestick slightly contracted, and both sides continued to hold a stalemate. The daily bearish candlestick took the initiative temporarily, while the four hour candlestick slowly declined. Today we are encountering non farm workers again, and we will continue to repeat the old routine of daytime depression and evening prosperity. During the day, we should watch more and move less. Non farm workers should act randomly and be cautious to avoid catching chickens and losing rice. Based on today's opening situation, the price still needs to be adjusted, but it cannot be ruled out that the data market may be triggered by evening data.

Attention Today1249.7This key point is the current form of suppression. According to the analysis approach of "top to bottom transformation", it has high reference value and can be operated smoothly after effective breakthroughs. Overall, the author believes that before non-agricultural activities, the focus should be on1248-50Going long,1258Short selling is more reasonable.

Specific gold operation strategy:

　　1Gold rebounds and stabilizes1248-50Long in US dollars, stop loss at1245US dollars, looking at the target1255、1258美元，破位持有

　　2Gold rebounds without breaking through1258Short selling in US dollars, stop loss at1263US dollars, look at the target below1250、1248US dollars, lower break1245、1243dollar

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　　撰稿人：覃汐妍

　　2017.04.07