覃汐妍：现货黄金三线收官已成，下周一行情预测及操作建议

　　覃汐妍：现货goldThe third tier closing has been completed. Next Monday's market forecast and operational suggestions
　　昨日对现货黄金来说是一个有点特殊的日子，周线收官，月线到头，季线结尾。回顾黄金过去走势，从周线上看，金价实现了周线三连阳，本周累计收涨3.10USD, increase0.25%. From the monthly chart, although gold prices have slightly declined this month, they are only a few dollars. From the seasonal online perspective, this season's increase is about8.4%，为一年来的最佳季度表现。
Of course, the past can only be recalled. Whether you made or lost in previous trading days has become a foregone conclusion. What we need to do is to grasp the present and look into the future. So analyzing the current trend of gold, yesterday's Asian morning gold price opened at1242.90dollar/After a brief consolidation and decline in ounces, gold prices fluctuated downward before rebounding and rising. The European market continued its upward trend for a while, but then turned around and fell again. Gold prices fluctuated narrowly, reaching a low point for the day1239.55dollar/After hitting the bottom and rebounding in ounces, the bulls suddenly exerted their strength and saw a sudden surge of Changyang in the trading session. The gold price in the US market has fluctuated upwards, with the increase gradually increasing, reaching a intraday high1250.61dollar/After a few ounces, it turned around and fell, then rebounded and finally closed at1247.70dollar/ounce.
From a fundamental perspective, the series of data released by the United States yesterday was mixed, and the rise in gold prices was still due to the dovish speech of Federal Reserve official Dudley on Friday. He stated that he was not in a hurry to tighten monetary policy, and the economy did not experience overheating, despite further interest rate hikes this year2The second seems reasonable, but reducing the balance sheet can also temporarily replace raising interest rates. From a technical perspective, the daily schedule is basically completedVAfter the reversal of the pattern, the price of gold stopped at1260On the front line and then turned downwards again, once again falling to1240Only after the first line did it rise again. So currently, above1250The front line has become the first resistance line for bullish gold, and if we can stabilize this line next week, the future market may be able to explore again1260The pressure situation on the front line. However, from the perspective of technical indicators, the overall situation is still relatively weak. It is still difficult for gold prices to rise strongly without sustained fundamentals. Therefore, next week's operation will mainly focus on a rebound high-altitude strategy, with attention paid to the resistance level above1250First line, pay attention to the support position below1240First line. Investors need to constantly monitor changes in market fundamentals, such as speeches by Federal Reserve officials, release of US economic data, European elections, and Brexit, as any news release may lead to fluctuations in gold prices.
　　现货黄金下周一具体操作建议：
　　1Rebound1250Short nearby, stop loss3Point, look at the target1242nearby;
　　2Falling back1240Long nearby, stop loss3Point, look at the target1245Near.
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　　撰稿人：覃汐妍
　　2017.04.01