Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD3month30Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　Industrial Investment:
　　隔夜高息货币与低息货币之间走势进一步分化，以欧元为首的低息货币表现乏善可陈，而加元等商品货币较为强势，这主要是受到市场风险情绪改善的影响。澳元延续早前一日反弹势头，扩大涨幅至0.7674。铁矿石这一波的拉升暂时缓和，若不能扩大涨幅，对澳元进一步上涨同样构成威胁。
　　日图自20日均线企稳反弹，随机指标显示进一步上行空间，但0.7685-0.7700存在较强阻力，可能限制涨幅。4小时图震荡走高，短期均线上行提供支持，但0.7685附近存在阻力。小时图震荡走高，短线反弹趋势维持完好。日内建议0.7660不破轻仓做多，看0.7685一线并寻求反手做空机会。
Support position:0.7660 0.7640 0.7610
Resistance level:0.7685 0.7700 0.7720
Deng Fute:
AUD/美元日线图延续了去年12月以来的区间内向上节奏，虽然近期向上动能略占优势，受到中期区间上沿的阻力，澳元上行空间有限。从小时图走势来看，澳元/美元周内创出下落低点0.7585获支撑超跌反弹，澳元虽然延续了短线的反弹局面，但是其反弹创新高的力度受到限制，这也限制了澳元短线反弹空间。短线支撑0.7640,0.7685。
　　FX168：
AUD/dollar
　　4小时图上显示，该货币对偏于上行，但上行动能也有限，因汇价收于20温和看涨均线上方，而技术指标试图在积极区域内走高，但上行倾向温和。进一步涨至0.7700上方可能会导致其测试近期高位0.7740/50区域，但升破0.7700关口后投资者可能会急于锁定获利。
Support position:0.7640 0.7600 0.7570
Resistance level:0.7710 0.7750 0.7785
Dahua Bank:
AUD/美元：中性，短期筑底的几率增加。报告指出，虽然收盘于0.7685下方，但短期筑底概率进一步改善。除非跌破0.7610，否则短线仍偏上行。
　　Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
　　AUD/USD
Support 0.7600 0.7540 resistance 0.7700 0.7750
　　昨日澳元继续上行，此前我提示澳元并未对0.7600形成突破走势，仍旧判断0.7600的位置能够提供短期的支撑。对于今日来看，由于走势已经接近上方的阻力，可以按0.76-0.77的区间进行操作，短期的震荡较难突破这一区间，如果在此后的震荡中跌破区间下轨，更下方的支撑在0.7540，上方的阻力首先是此前震荡过程中形成的重要阻力0.7700的关口，突破后则是年内高位0.7750

Event discussion:

Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

20:30美国第四季度个人消费支出物价指数终值(Annualized quarterly rate)+1.9%+3.0%Waiting

20:30美国第四季度核心个人消费支出物价指数终值(Annualized quarterly rate)+1.2%+1.2%Waiting

20:30US Q4 ActualGDPFinal value(Annualized quarterly rate)+1.9%+2.0%Waiting

20:30US Q4GDP平减指数终值+2.0%+2.0%Waiting

20:30美国第四季度企业获利终值(Annualized quarterly rate)+6.7%Waiting

20:30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to0325)25.824.7Waiting

20:30Four week average of initial jobless claims in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to0325)24.0Waiting

21:45Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index for the Week in the United States(to0326)51.3Waiting

22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in natural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)(to0324)-1500Waiting

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