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美元指数的升势提振了客盘购汇需求

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Huitong Network3month30Daily News - Thursday(3month30day)According to data from the People's Bank of China, the central parity rate between the Chinese yuan and the US dollar is reported6.8889Yuan, up from the previous day26点。交易员称,美元指数的升势提振了客盘购汇需求,大行适度提供美元流动性。而由于清明假期将至资金成本上浮,许多机构自营盘结汇以减少资金持有成本,市场总体均衡。

Institutional perspective

Mizuho Securities (Mizuho Securities) 亚洲首席经济学家发表观点称,预计今年人民币不会兑美元大幅贬值,6月底人民币汇率预计值为6.9,区间在6.8-7之间。瑞穗证券表示,倘若中美没有大规模贸易战,年底人民币兑美元可能小幅走弱至7.1,区间在6.9-7.3between.

兴业研究表示,美元指数是否趋势性突破100整数位尚待验证:倘若维持100-102区间震荡,美元回升时人民币仍将承压;倘若下破前期低点99.233,人民币存在升值动力,但需关注实需盘反应。4月中旬前总体仍维持人民币平稳判断。

上海交通大学高级金融学院金融学教授、中国金融研究院副院长钱军表示,在市场化的机制下,人民币兑某些货币比如美元,有一些贬值的压力或者进一步贬值,这是市场化的行为,而不是所谓的中国政府干预。

【宏观面消息】

中国央行连续第五天暂停公开市场逆回购操作,央行称,随着月末时点临近,财政支出力度进一步加大,对冲央行逆回购到期后银行体系流动性总量处于较高水平,3month30日不开展公开市场操作。公开市场今日有400亿元逆回购到期。

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