Ying Wanru:3month20Production reduction and shale oil disputes continue, and actual trading strategies for crude oil in the future market

Ying Wanru:3month20Production reduction and shale oil disputes continue,crude oilFuture real market operation strategy

Crude oil has been very weak recently, and the increase in production in the United States is affectingOPECThe production reduction agreement has caused great pressure. Trump has given the green light to the crude oil industry, and in this environment, US oil and gas production is expected to continue to increase, which will have an impact onOPECThe production reduction agreement is undoubtedly adding insult to injury. Of course, a wrong order is a wrong order, and no matter how persistent you are in carrying the order, it is difficult to say that you can make a profit and get out. Don't treat hedging as a mid line position. The so-called long term refers to waiting for profits to expand when the direction is correct, rather than reversing the direction and watching losses expand. Please pay attention to the author, Wei Xin, regarding the unlocking planjs6486The author will provide specific solutions based on Monday's real-time market situation.

From the latest data, as of3month17During the current week, the number of active oil wells in the United States increased14Seat to631Seat, refreshed while increasing for the ninth consecutive week2015year9The month has reached a new high. This news demonstrates that US shale oil has already reached full capacity and is expected to further boost US shale oil production6A new high in the past month has intensified market concerns about the rebound in US crude oil production.

On the other hand, Saudi Energy Minister Farih stated last week that "if crude oil inventories continue to exceed..."5Annual average, thenOPECWill be on6Extend the monthly production reduction agreement after it expires Due to the fact that crude oil inventories have been above this level so far5month25dayOPECWhen the countries meet in Vienna, this goal is likely to remain unattainable, which means that the measure will almost certainly be extended until the second half of the year. Overall, there is still a dispute between reducing production and shale oil, and what we need is to measureOPECThe power balance between the first production reduction in eight years and shale oil production in the United States needs to be balanced.

From the current technical perspective, oil prices were trading moderately last Friday, and there is still a risk of short-term downturn. Most moving averages still have a suppressive effect, especially from today's current performance,10The daily moving average has begun to form a relatively clear suppression. From the technical indicators of daily charts,MACDGreen kinetic energy column shrinks, random indicators flatten;In the Bollinger Passage, oil prices are located above the lower track;The short-term moving average is downward. Today, Monday saw a mild decline, with initial resistance above crude oil50.10The preliminary support below is47.05. In terms of future operations, the author suggests investors to be cautious and bearish. For specific real market layouts, please consult the author for detailed information. If your investment is still in confusion, you can ask me, Yingwanru guides the WeChat groupjs6486One more suggestion, one more reference. Whenever you have any questions, I will also answer them carefully for you.