Yi Xin Lun Jin3.10What should we do with gold and silver on Friday when we hold hands with the black swan during the non farm period?

　　【消息面解析】


　　从消息面来看，北京时间周三(3month8day)21:15Published in the United States2monthADPNew employment data recorded an increase29.810000 people, previous value corrected to increase26.1Ten thousand people, expected to increase19Ten thousand people. United States2monthADPEmployment creation2015year12The largest increase since the beginning of the month. Significantly better than expectedADPAfter the release of employment data, US Treasury yields jumped,10The yield of one-year US Treasury bonds has risen to12New high since the beginning of the month2.563%The US dollar index rose to3month3At the highest level in recent days, spot gold and silver fell sharply in the short term,goldfall drastically1210dollar/ounce. according toCMEFederal Reserve Observation, Expectations3Probability of monthly Fed interest rate hike90.8%，6Probability of monthly interest rate hikes95.9%The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at least three times this year is58%。


Gold Market Analysis


Federal Reserve3The continuous rise in expectations of monthly interest rate hikes has pushed weak bears to tighten their grip step by step. Overnight1220The multi headed defense broke through again and failed to hold, short term clothes1263Maintain the integrity of the downward channel for the high point, while the key resistance for the short cycle is1223The region is also seen as a defensive position for weak bears, and short-term trading maintains a strategy of going high with the trend, but it needs to be treated with caution. Teacher's suggestion for operation1212dollar/Short position near ounce, stop loss1215dollar/Ounce, target1203dollar/ounce; We need to look down to see the support below1200The integer barrier is on the front line, if we can stand firm today1200Multiple orders can be arranged above


　　【黄金操作建议】


　　1Suggestions1207现价做空，止损1213.4, Objective1201nearby


　　2Suggestions1200Long at current price, stop loss1197, Objective1226nearby


　　3Callback1205Multiple orders entering, stop loss1200Point, target1210


Silver Market Analysis


　　白银目前已跌至17.4附近，从四小时走势图来看，不同于黄金，银价在上次大跌后没有进一步大跌，金价的下跌也没带动银价走低，这或许可以看作是类似于上次大跌的前兆，正在蓄力，后市恐将有大跌的风险。而本周非农数据重磅来袭，若数据靓丽，白银价格仍有可能跌穿17美元分界点，白银价格短线风险偏空，虽银价于周线收官之日暴涨近0.4美元，但美联储加息预期升温持续利空贵金属市场，操作上易心论金依然建议以高位做空为主。


　　【白银操作建议】


　　反弹见17.50Empty, stop loss17.7, Objective17.30-17.25


Message:


　　成败也不必太过在意，借用杨慎的一首临江仙“滚滚长江东逝水，浪花淘尽英雄。是非成败转头空，青山依旧在，几度夕阳红。白发渔樵江渚上，惯看秋月春风。一壶浊酒喜相逢，古今多少事，都付笑谈中。”人在浩瀚的宇宙中不过冲冲过客，当然要建功立业，当然要展现英雄气概，当然要在无情的流逝中追求永恒的价值。但是既要拿得起，进得去；还要放得下，跳得出。你昨天失利，但我今天仍然看好你。我承认你昨日的失败，因为那已成事实。对于今日的你乃至以后的你我拒绝否认你，我也不许你承认你是一个loserBecause our battle has not yet begun, even if we fall, we must keep our eyes open and never give up to something that has not become a fact! Come on, you're the best! Besides, there is also Teacher Yixin accompanying you. I hope you can stand up again, forget yesterday's failure, and pick up weapons to fight for what we want!


　　专注财经原创，用最通俗易懂的语言解读国际经济宏观大势，现货大宗商品行情走势分析。


　　笔者易心论金，经常关注国际经济形式和重要消息面，对现货crude oil/silver/天然气等大宗商品有深入研究。一个选择，一份信任，一生收获。如果目前正在做这方面的理财投资，但是效果不是很理想，或者对现货投资感兴趣，想学习相关的技术和方法，可联系本人。


Author/Yi Xin Lun Jin/V兴：yixin15668为你提供天然气、原油、白银等分析策略资讯。