Liu Minyan:3month6Today's stock market forecast: There is still a risk of downward adjustment in the overall index

Liu Minyan:3month6Today's stock market forecast: There is still a risk of downward adjustment in the overall index

This week, China will announceforeign exchangeReserves, trade accountsCPIandPPISocial integrationM2Waiting for data;3month14-15The Federal Reserve of Japan is about to hold an interest rate meeting, and the expectation of a rate hike has significantly increased. In addition, next week is still during the two sessions, and the central bank, the National Development and Reform Commission, the State owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, and other ministries will hold press conferences.

Last Friday, the Shanghai Composite Index remained at a low level and fluctuated throughout the day, with significant differentiation between large and small cap stocks. Cyclical stocks, mainly steel and non-ferrous metals, led the decline, and market themed stocks were once again sought after by funds. The possibility of significant market fluctuations during the two sessions is very low. The Shanghai Composite Index fell0.36%Reporting3218spot;Shenzhen Component Index Rising0.29%Reporting10397spot;Growth Enterprise Market Rise0.41%Reporting1928Points.

From the perspective of the disk, high power transmission, titanium dioxide, lithium batteries, semiconductorsOLEDThe sector with the highest growth rate;goldSecurities, banks, steel, non-ferrous metals and other sectors saw the largest decline. Net outflow from Shanghai Stock Connect2100 million, net inflow from Shenzhen Stock Connect5One billion.

Market analysis: Last week, the motherboard experienced an adjustment structure of rising and falling, and this adjustment will not end in the short term,5Daily moving average dead cross10The daily moving average, and the index also fell below the dead cross node to test it20The support of the daily moving average.3205The point is the initial platform support position. If we break through here, the goal is to test it3174Point support position. Current technical indicatorsMACD，KDJThey are all at high dead crosses, so the adjustment will continue and there will be a rebound during the process. However, if the trading volume does not follow the amplification, it will continue to fall. Looking at the mid-term trend, the next time window will occur3month16Around the day, if the time window is opened in conjunction with the low point, the adjustment will end and a new structure will continue to rebound. Friends who are lurking in the article should pay attention. Observation is necessary, but long-term hesitation and worries will make you miss out time and time again, only becoming a spectator!If you want to become an official user, keep up with the layout and contact me quickly!(Liu Minyan:VL5523 )

The current situation on the ChiNext board is to use volatility to digest the trapped chips on the platform that were previously under pressure,1930The pressure is always unable to stand up effectively, and time is needed here to make1950The chips in the area with high transaction volume in the early stage of the transaction have become loose. This also requires time to exchange space.

It is expected that the market will continue to fluctuate and adjust its structure in mid day trading on Monday. take care3205The gains and losses of point support positions.

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Pay attention to secondary bank stocks in terms of individual stocks600926And lithium batteries002733

Author: Liu Minyan

Time:2017.3.6