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There are many nearbycrude oilFriends who have available orders came to me, some of whom were in a hurry to get rid of the situation, while others were a bit self deprecating, feeling that there was little chance of getting rid of it. They were panicked and disorganized, unsure of how to do it. However, I did not directly give a position as before, but carefully taught them what it was to get rid of the situation. The so-called unlocking refers to using various methods to turn losses into profits or minimize losses after being trapped. The essence of unraveling can be attributed to diluting costs. Once the cost is below zero, it is considered a successful unraveling. Deconstructing is a passive remedial measure in situations where investment has already suffered losses, and there is a risk of continued losses. Therefore, when using these methods, it should be determined based on one's own situation and not blindly used. Otherwise, it may lead to a "killing one hundred enemies and losing three thousand oneself" outcome. Here are several ways to solve the problem, hoping to be helpful to you. And I just hope to help you, because there is no best method, only the most suitable one. I am also willing to teach others how to fish to those who can listen, and I do not make too much effort to persuade those who cannot listen. I can only wish you all the best. |
1Low position replenishment |
This is the most widely used and also the simplest way to solve the problem. When investors are trapped at a high level, they choose to hold their positions and then replenish their positions at a low level, that is, to buy again at a lower price in order to unwind through the rebound or fall of crude oil. When crude oil rebounds, the losses from buying positions at high levels gradually decrease, while the profits from buying positions at low levels gradually increase. This way, even if the quotation does not return to its original height, investors are more likely to unwind. If the market develops well, there will still be opportunities for profitability. |
In addition to simple single replenishment, low replenishment can also be divided into three modes: pyramid replenishment, uniform replenishment, and inverted pyramid replenishment. The pyramid style replenishment refers to gradually increasing the position of replenishment as crude oil declines, while the reverse pyramid replenishment is exactly the opposite. Uniform replenishment distributes the position evenly at different prices. These three replenishment methods each have their own advantages, but from the perspective of diluting costs, pyramid style replenishment is more suitable for unwinding, because this method can put investors in a more proactive position, make it easier to obtain lower costs, and thus increase the probability of unwinding. Risk: Low position replenishment relies on judgment of the market situation. If the trend has already reversed or if you enter the market early to replenish before rebounding, you will face the risk of greater losses as you replenish the position. This method is extremely risky for margin trading. Note: If investors hold onto positions that exceed all positions50[%]Instead, alternative methods should be sought. At this point, using a low margin to cover positions will increase the exposure risk faced by investors. |
2Reverse price difference |
In fact, the reverse spread, also known as "selling high and buying low", is a very easy way to unwind, that is, when crude oil falls into a range oscillation, the position is held at a relatively high level to close the position, and when the exchange rate drops to a relatively low level, it is bought again, waiting for the high level to sell again, in order to earn the middle price difference and achieve the purpose of diluting costs. Risk: The risk of reverse spread is relatively small, as long as it relies on the upper and lower tracks of the oscillation range, operations can be carried out smoothly. However, if the oscillation range turns to the bottom, there is a risk of being short circuited when selling on the upper track. If the oscillation range turns into a downward relay, there is a risk of being trapped again when buying on the lower track. Attention: When performing the reverse price difference operation, one should avoid paying too much attention to the hourly chart, as the hourly chart fluctuates frequently, which may lead to errors in judging the entry and exit points, missing the best point, and can be referred to more4Operate on hourly charts. It's just that doing this requires a very precise positioning card, usually the teacher gives the voice directly and the customer operates it |
3Reduce positions at high points |
Reducing positions at high points, as the name suggests, is to advise investors who have been trapped to cut positions early, but the prerequisite is that investors have confirmed that the market judgment is incorrect, and the way is to decisively close positions at high points of the rebound market, or to close a portion of positions. This is the last resort in the strategy of resolving the situation, which is a "escape" tactic adopted when there is no hope of resolving the situation. Cutting down warehouses is not without strategy. Reducing positions at high prices can be implemented in two stages. The first stage is "high price", which means that even if the main trend contradicts one's original judgment, one must wait for a rebound market that is in line with their own interests before starting to cut positions; The second stage is "reducing positions", and the reason why it is referred to as "reducing positions" instead of "cutting positions" is because reducing positions cannot be done in one fell swoop, and all positions that have been hedged should be sold short at once. Instead, there should be a step-by-step and planned gradual decompression. Firstly, investors should analyze the stage in which they are being held, that is, confirm the development trend of holding onto crude oil. If investors believe that the trapped position is currently at a high trend and is likely to reverse, they should make a quick decision and close their positions when the market slightly improves. They should follow the "heavy to light" closing philosophy for the trapped position. If the position of the bedding is divided into10Equal parts, with3Taking the second opportunity short selling as an example, the proportion of short selling at this time is roughly7:2:1.In short, the greater the risk, the faster you run. |
If the range of trapped positions oscillates, investors should "sell at high points", and each sold position should follow the principle of "tight before loose". Because since it is a trap, there is a risk. Of course, it is safer to leave early, and the short selling ratio at this time is roughly5:3:2.If the hold up point is at a low trend, it means that although the current market does not match the original judgment, there is a possibility of turning to the original judgment in the short term. Investors do not need to rush out of the market. When the market rebounds locally, follow the "light to heavy" closing principle, and the short selling ratio is roughly:3:3:4,And it is possible to appropriately increase the time interval for short selling opportunities, and even leave a small amount of hedging positions, in order to make a small profit after the market reverses. The difficulty of reducing positions at high prices lies in how to confirm the market judgment is incorrect and the timing of making decisions. If the main trend of the market is consistent with one's original judgment, but the current trend is contrary to the original judgment, investors are likely to lose their profit opportunities for nothing. However, if investors discover that the market judgment is incorrect, they may wake up later and often have caused certain losses. |
Of course, the above centralized methods are all based on the consideration of positions. I am not sure about the positions of my investment friends, so I cannot provide a method for filling up how many positions. What is quite troublesome is that many people do not communicate with Ruixin himself and directly use my method, causing losses before coming to me, always with emotions in their hearts. So it makes me feel embarrassed. Customers are all people, and being able to communicate is a good thing. If some people can grasp it, I will try my best to hold onto it. If I cannot grasp it, I will not feel regretful about it. However, it is a good reminder. After placing an order, it is best to discuss with me before using it. Two heads are better than one head. Moreover, my experience is richer than yours. |
Having said so much, if you feel like you don't understand it, you can carefully ponder it a few times. The article is here, and if you have any questions, you can directly voice the author in person and chat with me. This way, you can make progress quickly, without having to face strange market trends alone. There is no best way, only suitable methods. There are already many people who have discussed and walked with me, and I hope you can join in. Perhaps it will be of great use to you in the spot market. |
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