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2.9EIA库存暴增油价呈“V”型反弹,美原油、白银走势分析

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  Wednesday Beijing Time(2month8日)晚23:30United States Energy Information Administration(EIA)Published as of2month3Day and Weekcrude oil库存录得增加1383万桶,预期值为增加252.9Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase646.6万桶。这份EIA原油库存创下了记录第二的增幅。具体数据显示,美国2month3Day and WeekEIAIncrease in crude oil inventory1383Ten thousand barrels, expected increase250Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value646.6Ten thousand barrels; Reduced gasoline inventory86.9Ten thousand barrels, expected increase150Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value386.6Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase2.9Ten thousand barrels, expected increase50Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value156.8Ten thousand barrels.
  数据还显示,美国2month3Day and WeekEIA俄克拉荷马州库欣地区原油库存增加114.3Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased124.5万桶;EIA精炼厂设备利用率为87.7%Expected to be87.9%, previous value is88.2%。数据公布后,美布两油双双上下波动。
  另外,油价上涨还存在另外一个原因在于:卡塔尔油长称不排除延长减产协议。他表示“我们对重新考虑是否延长持开放态度,如有必要,延长是选择之一”。值得注意的是,美元在美盘交易时段下滑,这或许是油价上行的一个推动因素。
【美原油技术分析】
  从美原油从四小时图上来看,油价目前已经涨至52.4美元一线了,支撑首先可以看向52美元关口,不过预计这点支撑不足,下方重点关注51.2美元,这点作为参考线,若跌破则可能进一步下探50.5The US dollar barrier,51.0美元则作为止损参考线,阻力关注53.0美元附近。再从指标来看,K线大幅跌破布林带下轨,目前有反弹需求,MACD指标快慢线持续向下,可能有小幅度的回调,同时绿色动能柱出现大幅度缩量。综合来看,油价短线反弹迹象明显,在利空因素下反弹,操作上敏金建议高沽低渣!

Suggestions for US crude oil operations:
51.8美元附近进场多单,止损51.4美元下方,上方看向52.5Around the US dollar.
52.9美元附近空单进场,止损53.2美元上方,下方看向52.3Around the US dollar.
Silver Technology Analysis
  白银走势与本人早间给出的分析策略一致,回落做多。目前美国方面政治舆论关系影响美国指数处于利空状态,虽然3月份美国强调加息令,但是依旧不能提振美国当前的经济利好因素。昨日白银开盘17.68美元美盘触及上方布林轨上轨压制开始出现回落;技术指标MACD金叉,红色量能柱放量,指标中性,KDJ金叉,快线拐头,日内操作上建议回落继续做多,上方关注18美元压制!

Suggestion for Silver Operation:
Fallback to17.6Multiple orders entering near the US dollar, stop loss17.4美元下方,目标18美元破位持有
First touch18美元附近空单进场,止损18.2Above the US dollar, target17.75dollar
以上策略不具备及时性,据此操作盈亏自负,更多策略盘中实时指导!
  做行情,首看趋势,其次看点位,最后是时间。我们强调的是对行情的理解和观察。无论操作的是对还是错,都必须要有操作的理由。有理由的操作,无论对错及时检讨,这才是真正投资,否则,都只会沦为赌博。
  writing/敏金之道(微信公众号:minjinzd或添加笔者微信mjzd168获取最新资讯)
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