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ACY稀万国际:欧元兑美元震荡上行,关注欧洲央行利率决议

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This Thursday(1month19day)亚市盘中,欧元/美元震荡上行,目前汇价交投于1.0638一线附近,昨日欧元/美元高位下调,受耶伦的鹰派讲话影响。技术面,日线图显示,汇价维持在20Above the daily moving average,RSI(14)均衡趋势指数位于50上方,显示短线价格整体价格趋势偏多。技术面就近下方支撑位于1.0594Above the line.
基本面关注:
昨日在耶伦的鹰派讲话后,欧元/美元昨日自1.0703fall to1.0628。这表明,汇价近期自14Annual low1.0341始的反弹于周二在1.0719阶段性见顶,欧元/美元后市或震荡走低,看向1.0580水平。但超卖状态或令汇价仍在日内德拉基讲话前维持在1.0530upper.
Thursday(1month19day)亚洲时段,投资者首先要关注的是澳大利亚的就业数据,这项数据会给澳元带来短暂的影响。欧洲时段,投资者稍加留意欧元区的经常帐数据。然后时段内,交易crude oil的投资者还应该留意IEA发布的最新月度原油市场报告。
北京时间,20spot45分,投资者密切关注欧洲央行最新的利率决议。北京时间21spot30分,欧洲央行行长德拉基还会召开新闻发布会。欧洲央行在上月决议中反映出对欧元区经济增长信心的增强,而欧元区的通胀也有企稳回升的迹象。
纽约时段,除了欧洲央行决议的影响,美国方面也会公布几项重要的经济数据,包括营建许可、初请失业金数据以及新屋开工等。另外,交易原油的投资者也要密切关注EIA原油库存数据给油价带来的影响。
Technical analysis:
20日线移动平均线指标显示,汇价目前快速逆转突破20日均线上方,显示空方力量弱于多方力量;RSI(14)均衡指标显示,趋势线目前在50均衡位置附近上方,显示短期整体价格力度表现整体偏多,操作上顺势而为,日内重点关注欧洲央行利率决议以及德拉基新闻发布会。约时段,聚焦美国营建许可、初请失业金数据以及新屋开工等。
日线图显示,欧元/美元日线图支撑与阻力
日内重要数据关注:
【北京时间】
time country Indicator Name Previous value Estimate
08:30 Australia 12Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment(%)- 5.7 5.7
17:00 eurozone 11Monthly adjusted current account(100 million euros)- 284 --
20:45 eurozone 1The main refinancing rate of the European Central Bank for the month(%)- 0.00 0.00
21:30 U.S.A 12Total monthly construction permits(10000 households)- 121.2 122.5
21:30 U.S.A 1Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index- 21.5 16.0
21:30 U.S.A by1month14Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week(ten thousand) 24.7 25.1
21:30 U.S.A 12Annualized total monthly construction of new houses(10000 households)- 109 118.4
21:30 Canada 11月制造业装船月率(%)- -0.8 --
00:00 U.S.A 1month13Day and WeekEIAChanges in crude oil inventory(10000 barrels)409.7 3.12
20:45The European Central Bank announces its interest rate decision.
21:30欧洲央行行长德拉基出席新闻发布会。
--:--International Energy Agency(IEA)发表月度原油市场报告。
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