Fundamental analysis:
Thursday(1month19day)欧盘时段,国际油价小幅上涨,目前美国crude oilstay51美元附近交投。目前市场静待晚间EIA数据来袭。
Thursday Beijing time(1month19day)17:00International Energy Agency(IEA)Publish monthly crude oil market report.The monthly report shows that,12月欧佩克原油产量下滑3210000 barrels/Solstice330910000 barrels/Day. 其中,沙特12The monthly crude oil production is104810000 barrels/日,较上月有所下滑。月报公布后油价反应平淡。
与此同时石油输出国组织(OPEC)And nonOPEC产油国达成的减产协议仍处于“观察期”,现在判断协议执行情况还为时尚早,且美国产油量也将在页岩油领军下反弹。
Federal Reserve(FED)主席耶伦周四(1month19day)表示将逐步提高美国利率水平。受此影响,美元上涨,金价走低。现货gold最新下降0.1%newspaper1,202dollar/盎司,盘中曾跌至低点1,197.31dollar/盎司。金价周二触及8Weekly high point1,218.64dollar/ounce.
美联储主席耶伦周三表示,随着美国经济接近充分就业,通胀数字接近美联的2%的目标,美联储逐步提高利率是“合理的。”达拉斯联储主席卡普兰(Robert Kaplan)周三也加入逐步提高美债利率的美联储官员阵营,表示了类似观点。
Technical analysis of crude oil:
原油从四小时走势图来看,油价日内温和走高,目前K线价格在布林带下轨上方,交投于51.50美元附近。下方支撑看向51美元,上方阻力看向52美元,进一步看向52.50US dollars. From the perspective of indicators,K线受下轨强劲支撑,附图RSI指标聚拢向上。
综合来看,今日原油建议继续逢高做空,不过此次下跌仍然定义为多头市场的中级回调,绝对不是趋势改变,空单不宜恋战,未来企稳后可重新布局多单。
Exclusive strategy of Yueying:Short on high
51Going long near the US dollar, targeting the direction52.1Near the US dollar, stop loss at50.7Below USD;
52.5Short selling near the US dollar, targeting direction51.5Near the US dollar, stop loss at52.8Above the US dollar.
Technical analysis of silver:
现货白银在经历一夜的跳水行情后,迎来了一个刺激的早晨,昨夜银价虽在17美元附近维稳,但今早一根大阴线正在尝试破17美元支撑。价格最低已达到16.90美元,这对银价来说当然是一个不好的消息。白银从四小时走势图来看,白银价格同样持续走低,并跌穿17美元大关至16.9美元的支撑附近,这点依旧有效,进一步可能看向16.7美元附近,阻力可以关注17.1Near the US dollar. From the perspective of indicators,K线跌至布林带中轨暂时止跌,附图KD指标大幅度向下发散。
综合来看,白银价格进一步下跌动能充足,操作上越莹建议反弹做空为主。
白银操作建议:
1、17.15Short selling near the US dollar, targeting direction16.9Near the US dollar, stop loss at17.23Above the US dollar;
2、16.8Going long near the US dollar, targeting the direction17.1美元下方,止损在16.7Below the US dollar.
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