Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month16减产虽支撑油价，沥青日内仍有下行风险后市解析

Wan'er Gold and Silver:1month16减产虽支撑油价，沥青日内仍有下行风险后市解析

UBS Group(UBS)analystGiovanni StaunovoMonday(1month16day)在报告中表示，石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国多数预计都会遵守协议削减产量，这有望在未来几个月提振油价延续之前涨势。如果您的投资仍处于迷茫之中，可以问我，婉儿金银指导薇信群js6486One more suggestion, one more reference. Whenever you have any questions, I will also answer them carefully for you.

　　但是尽管沙特报道称减产幅度大于预期，但2月交付的轻质低硫crude oilfutures合约止住4Weekly uptrend, recorded2.5%The decline in price. Oil prices stopped during trading from11The low point at the end of the month51dollar/桶下方反弹的势头，目前接近区间的底部，试图再次寻找买盘。

　　此外有交易员表示，普遍预期OPECWe will not fully comply with the production reduction agreement, but it is estimated that the degree of compliance will reach50-80%便足以让油价可维持在每桶55About USD.

　　从技术面来看，小时图中，目前价格与5MA、10MA基本持平，布林带斜口向下，K线运行于中下轨之间，附图MACD指标快慢线于0轴下方平缓运行，绿色动能缩量。随机指标KDJ三线虽金叉向上，但有拐头向下趋势。指标偏弱。日图中，价格处于5MAAnd10MA之间，布林带缩口，价格运行于中轨附近，附图MACD指标快慢线死叉向下，绿色动能缩量，随机指标KDJ三线金叉向上。指标中性偏弱。综合来看，虽有减产协议支撑油价，但日内油价仍有进一步下行风险，操作上笔者建议逢高做空为主。

Specific operational suggestions for the future market of spot asphalt:

　　1、5120Short nearby, stop loss30Point, look at the target5020Near.

　　2、5000Long nearby, stop loss30Point, look at the target5100Near.

　　3Online guidance and analysis of crude oil and natural gas.Single contact Weixinjs6486。