Yang Jingle:1month3day2017第一个交易日现货原油行情剖析及操作建议

Yang Jingle:1month3day2017第一个交易日现货crude oil行情剖析及操作建议

The news of spot crude oil is intuitive:

　　JBCEnergyMonday(1month2day)在报告中称，石油输出国组织(OPEC)2016year12月的原油总产量与前月相比“基本没有变化”，约在每日3450万桶。该机构在报告中指出，随着油田复产，利比亚的原油产量将回升，速度约在510000 barrels/日。同时，其预计利比亚当前的日均产量为62万桶，该国官方估算为65Ten thousand barrels. Additionally,JBCEnergy还预计，伊拉克12月产量将与11月持平，保持在46010000 barrels/Day.

　　OPEC此前发布的月报显示，11月该组织成员国日产原油3387Ten thousand barrels, compared to10Monthly growth1510000 barrels/日。不过，据国际能源署(IEA)的报告，11monthOPEC日产量创出了3420万桶的纪录。OPEClast year11month30Japanese agreement2017Reduce crude oil production in the first half of the year12010000 barrels/Day, to325010000 barrels/日。俄罗斯、阿曼和墨西哥等国再减产55.810000 barrels/日。近期以来，OPEC成员国与非OPEC成员国之间的历史性协议提振油价狂飙，自达成协议以来油价已累计暴涨近20%。OPEC月报还显示，只有在OPEC遵守每日3270万桶左右产量目标的情况下，库存才会出现下降。

Analysis of spot crude oil market:

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　　现货原油上周收线后一直保持强势的反弹姿态，所以不出意外本周原油价格存在继续向上的需要，其中周线上轨的压力点位于5205，当前原油报价5067.建议本周操作原油价格以逢低做多适宜，其中周线支撑位于5020附近。从日线图收盘形态来看，油价在布林上轨录的3根十字星形态，表明油价短线存在多空胶着的局面，日内盘中高开高走后回调，关注下方回落支撑，5030Support, attention from above5085区域，建议日内操作先空再多;

Suggestions for spot crude oil operation:

　　1.Crude oil price5080Short nearby, stop loss5105, Objective5040/5030;

　　2.Crude oil price5030Long nearby, stop loss5000, Objective5065/5075

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