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Hong Jingyuan:12month15crude oil沥青日内布局策略及走势分析
美联储周三如期扣动加息扳机,这一点在市场意料之中,但美联储对明年利率的预期以及耶伦的鹰派表态则令市场感到吃惊。美联储决议之后,金融市场掀起“惊涛骇浪”,美元吹响进攻号角,彭博美元指数更是劲升至历史最高,与此同时,gold、原油以及股市集体下挫,标普500指数创下10month11日来最大单日百分比跌幅。人生需要规划,钱财需要打理;You don't manage finances, money doesn't care about you;Making money relies on opportunities, investing on wisdom, and managing finances on professionalism. Deconstructing relies on attitude, judgment comes from observation, and more importantly, from professionalism. Taking risks is beyond reproach, but at the same time, remember not to put all your eggs in one basket!Add author Hong Jingyuan's authority:ky4626Online guidance and analysis of market trends.
原油方面更是受到双重打击,一方面是美联储加息利空原油,另一方面根据路透对opec以往月报的对比显示,11月该组织的产量至少为2008年以来最高,这多原油市场又是当头棒喝。所以尽管EIA数据利好原油市场,但双拳难敌四手,原油沥青还是一泻千里。技术面分析,从4When viewed online, the Bollinger belt runs with an opening,KThe line is located near the lower track of the Bollinger Belt,MA5、MA10Parallel downward movement, as shown in the attached figureMACDGreen kinetic energy release, dual parallel downward running0Near the axis, the indicators are neutral and weak, with random indicatorsKDJParallel running on0轴上方,指标弱势。虽然EIA原油库存利多,但受欧佩克月报悲观预期和美元持续走强的影响,加之美国加息美元走强,非美货币全线暴跌,原油也再度跌破51美元。综合来看,油价还有下跌空间,操作上以反弹做空为主。日内下方重点关注50大关,上方重点关注51.5USD,52USD. 原油沥青日内操作建议:
1、原油不破51.50美元附近做空,止损在0.5USD, target50.50Around the US dollar.
2Asphalt4830附近回调做空,4860点止损,目标看4770Near.
3Get today's review and add Hong Jingyuan's credibilityky4626You can consult now.