Jin Huiyan:API巨增油价开盘跌逾1%，EIA再致原油跌向深渊？

Jin Huiyan:API巨增油价开盘跌逾1%，EIA再致crude oil跌向深渊？
Wednesday(12month14day)凌晨，API公布数据显示原油库存大增近500万桶，此前IEA月报爆OPEC产量创新高等一系列利空因素抵消OPEC减产带来的利好，油价急跌逾1%。日内稍晚OPEC月报及EIA原油库存即将公布，还请石油投资者关注。
Beijing Time12month14dayOPEC将公布月度原油市场报告(通常会在北京时间18:00-20:00左右公布);Beijing Time23:30, USAEIA原油库存公布。


API暴增近500万桶——大跌眼镜
Wednesday Beijing Time(12month14day)before dawn5:30American Petroleum Institute(API)According to the published data, as of12month9Day of the Week, USAAPI原油库存大增470万桶，预期下降160Ten thousand barrels.
具体数据显示，截至12month9Day of the Week, USAAPIUnexpected surge in crude oil inventories470Ten thousand barrels, to4.901Billion barrels;预期下降160万桶，前值下降220万桶。与此同时，当周APIIncrease in gasoline inventory391Ten thousand barrels, expected increase260Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value82.8万桶，当周API精炼油库存上升23.3Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value39.4Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease16.7Ten thousand barrels.
thisAPI原油库存大增真是亮瞎观众双眼，连分析师也意料不到，原油库存本就高企，加上OPEC产油国都在减产期限到来之前大量增加本国产油量，即便是达成减产协议，恐怕也无益于油价上涨。
反转王EIA——再来致命一击?
前期：美国能源信息署(EIA)Wednesday(12month7day)公布数据显示，美国12month2Day and WeekEIAReduction in crude oil inventory238.910000 barrels;Refined oil inventory increase250.1Ten thousand barrels.
具体数据显示，美国12month2Day and WeekEIAReduction in crude oil inventory238.9Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease103.2Ten thousand barrels, previous value decreased88.410000 barrels;Increase in gasoline inventory342.5Ten thousand barrels, expected increase160Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value209.710000 barrels;Refined oil inventory increase250.1Ten thousand barrels, expected increase200Ten thousand barrels, increase in previous value495.7Ten thousand barrels.
参照API原油库存数据的情况来看，今夜EIA原油库存公布的结果暴增的概率相对较大，如果这样原油库存积压过多，而产油国减产情况恐怕也要多加分量，加上此前OPEC月报公布结果料利空油价，油价上行难度大。

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