Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD12month12Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

View All · Published on 2016-12-12 17:20:53

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　AustraliaGCG：
　　澳币上周呈现出一种盘整的走势，上方受0.75的强压制而未能有效的突破，下方受上涨支撑线的支撑而上行，整体来看，澳币依旧是限于三角形的盘整走势，日线级别上上周汇价多次的长上下影线也也显示出多空双方的胶着。日内策略方面上来看，依旧按照盘整的走势来对待，继续寻求0.74-0.7420区间内的买入机会。但从H4来看，汇价已经接近三角盘整区间的收窄位置，汇价存在随时破位的行情。
Deng Fute:
AUD/USD from11month8日至今一直以震荡下落局面运行，澳元最低下落到0.7310获支撑一直围绕低点缓慢调整，经过连续的调整澳元进一步跌向0.7140。从小时图走势来看，澳元/美元对均线系统形成反复穿越，近期的横盘震荡局面持续，受到11month29日以来反复的动能大交替的影响，澳元中期的动荡局面持续。短线阻力0.7495, support0.7415。
　　TMGforeign exchange：
　　操作区间：建议0.7485Short selling, target:0.7455，0.7430Stop loss35Points.
　Dahua Bank:
AUD/美元：中性，高位交投在0.7350/0.7550
　　报告称，澳元继续进行横盘整理，上个月稍晚开始的中性阶段目前依旧不变。换句话说，我们预计澳元依旧进一步交投在0.7350/0.7550区间内。
　　南方财富网：
AUD/USD from11month8日至今一直以震荡下落局面运行，澳元最低下落到0.7310获支撑一直围绕低点缓慢调整，经过连续的调整澳元进一步跌向0.7140。
　　从小时图走势来看，澳元/美元对均线系统形成反复穿越，近期的横盘震荡局面持续，受到11month29日以来反复的动能大交替的影响，澳元中期的动荡局面持续。短线阻力0.7495, support0.7415。
Vantage FXAnalysis of Wanzhi's viewpoint:
　　AUD/USD
Support 0.7410 0.7370 resistance 0.7500 0.7530
　　在周五提示看多之后，澳元也是再次试探了上方0.7500的阻力，仍旧未能突破上行，目前回落到了震荡区间的下轨附近，在此位置持看多的观点，未来仍有上试0.7500阻力的可能。If0.7500被突破，也就是目前震荡的三角形被上破，进一步目标在0.7530;下方的支撑点位首先是0.7410，更下方则是0.7370的近期低点。

Event discussion:

time	Indicator content	Previous value	Previous value(Before correction)	Estimate	Announced value
08:30	澳大利亚第三季度全国房价指数(Seasonal rate)	+2%		+2.5%	Waiting
	澳大利亚第三季度全国房价指数(the annual rate)	+4.1%		+4.8%	Waiting
08:30	Australia11monthNABBusiness Prosperity Index	+6			Waiting
	Australia11monthNABBusiness confidence index	+4			Waiting

Focus:Vantage FX万致：特朗普入主白宫后，美元/日元真正意义上触及阻力位水平（https://www.vantagefx.cn/market-analysis/16121202/）

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