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Jin Huiyan:12.3周评三大利空难挡油价再创新高 crude oil白银下周操作建议(附金银空单解套)
Fundamentals: ·利空一、贝克休斯数据显示,截至2016year12month2The number of active oil wells in the United States increased during the current week3Seat to477Seat1月份以来新高,在过去27周内,美国石油活跃钻井数已经累计增加了161seat
·利空二、数据显示,俄罗斯原油产量升至112110000 barrels/日,连续第三个月刷新后苏联时期新高
·利空三、OPEC减产协议为油价提供有效支撑,但由于投资者在大涨之后开始获利了结,油价涨幅受限
Analysis of crude oil market
当前油价紧逼52.22年内高点,虽有三大利空施压限制原油价格涨幅,但是欧佩克8年以来首次减产协议,强劲利多油价,OPEC减产协议提振效果犹存,油价涨破年内高点只是时间的问题!In addition,CFTCThe weekly report released states that as of11month29日当周,对冲基金及其他基金经理在OPEC会议之前减持美国原油futuresandoption净多头头寸,为三周以来首次。
综上:原油市场仍面临层层空头,原油投资者不可盲目乐观,且俄罗斯仍为OPEC减产实行的质疑点,须谨慎对待。原油价格牛市已然到来,油价短线拉升避无可避,投资者在近期内可以低多为主。