Nanyu Dianjin: Non farm Weekly Crude Oil Asphalt intraday Operation Strategy

Nan language points gold: Non farm weekcrude oilAsphalt intraday operation strategy


Market News


Hillary's' email scandal 'reboot raises market concerns
Since last Friday, Hillary, who is deeply mired in a whirlpool, has caused a series of indicator reversals. For example, the US federal funds ratefuturesdisplayed12The probability of monthly interest rate hikes has increased from last week's75%Down to69.7%Hillary's approval rating is only one percentage point ahead of Trump, indicating that the market is concerned about the uncertainty surrounding the US election.


Last weekend's technical meeting among oil producing countries failed to reach a consensus on a production reduction agreement
At last weekend's technical meeting, major oil producing countries failed to reach a consensus, leading the market to believe that the hope of reaching a production reduction agreement was slim, resulting in a significant drop in crude oil futures on Monday. New York Mercantile Exchange12Monthly deliveryWTIUS crude oil futures decline1.84US dollar, closing at46.86dollar/Bucket, with a decline of3.8%. LondonICEEuropean Futures Exchange12North Sea Brent crude oil futures with monthly delivery also fell1.41US dollar, closing at48.30dollar/Bucket, with a decline of2.8%Created from9month27The lowest closing price since the beginning of the day.


summary
The highest rise in US crude oil prices51.91dollar/Bucket, lowest drop to46.62dollar/Bucket. Oil prices rose sharply at the beginning of the month, mainly due toOPECThe support of reaching a verbal production reduction agreement. However, in10In the latter half of the month, oil prices did not continue to rise as a result, and there are increasing signs indicating that,OPECThe production reduction agreement led by the oil producing countries is more likely to be unsatisfactory and empty talk, which makes the future prospects of oil prices still bleak.
Various signs indicate that previouslyOPECThe production reduction plan is likely to be another piece of paper. After the preliminary agreement is reached, we can see thatOPECThe effort in work,OPECThe energy ministers of Gulf countries have repeatedly stated that Saudi Arabia and Gulf countries are willing to reduce oil production from its peak4[%]But the market doesn't pay attention.


Analysis of crude oil market
The daily chart has a double negative volume and a large space. And after yesterday's rebound in the European market. Breaking through a low in the US market means a very weak decline. Almost no rebound correction occurred midway. Indicating sufficient short-term momentum. The shadow of the daily chartKThe line is relatively large. There is still a wave of continuous bottoming out today. However, if we continue down today, we will approach the upward trend line on the daily chart45.80-46.0Region. This position should be avoided from descending and rebounding upon arrival for the first time. As for whether it can stop the decline and stabilize at this level, it will be judged based on the intraday pattern. At least get closer, or else chase after the sky.
Short term operation: Asian rebound correction, high point before European market, then European market breaks through low and weakens. So the position of the blank spot should be cut in near the opening of the European market. Reference pressure point47.30The area is easily accessible. Simultaneously supported by the trend line of the daily chart46.0Complete profit taking in the nearby area. Today's bears are not overly greedy. follow45.80-46.0The gains and losses. At the same time, if the European market experiences a very weak downturn. touch46.0It can be shortened one more time nearby. The rebound before the opening of the game in the US market. As for whether it can stop the decline in this region, it needs to be confirmed by today's daily closing. Short term operations are not a big problem at once.


11.01US crude oil operation strategy
1.Crude oil prices rebound to47.65-47.75Short selling, stop loss0.4In US dollars, the target is visible46.60-46.70, broken46.60Point position, then move downwards46.20Point position;
2.Crude oil prices remain stable46.60Then, in46.60-46.70Long, stop loss0.4In US dollars, the target is visible47.50-47.60Breakthrough47.60Then move up to47.75Point position.


Analysis of Silver Market
As for silver, the recent fluctuations are not very large, basically around40Go back up and down at a certain point. but thisgoldThe channel has been formed, and the resistance and support levels are quite obvious. It is still very accurate to have high altitude and low altitude within the interval. Yesterday, due to Hillary's "email scandal", gold and silver experienced a surge, but they still fell back after touching the resistance line of the channel. So the biggest impact on silver this week is undoubtedly the non farm payroll data. The upward potential of silver is still relatively large, and even if the non farm payroll data is negative for silver, it is still a good opportunity to buy at the bottom in the long run.


Of course, gold and silver11Overall, the month is a relatively complex oscillation, while on the daily chart25The low point is bullish11Mid month high point. Key points to focus on at the silver level18.0Breakthrough on the front line of the US dollar, if it breaks upwards18.30The rebound of the US dollar is confirmed to continue bullish. On the contrary, if there is a downward breakthrough, be careful and return to the intraday oscillation as the main trading strategy. Silver Focus18.00Compared to the low point17.20Breakthrough in the range. Detailed operation strategy attention


Message: The reason why people feel tired is that they often hover between persistence and giving up, indecisive. In investment games, there are always things worth remembering and things that must be given up. Giving up and persisting is an attitude that everyone adopts when facing life problems. The courage to give up is a kind of grandeur, and the courage to persist is also a kind of courage. Who can speak clearly about right and wrong?


This article is exclusively planned by Nan Yu Dian Jin. Please indicate the source when reprinting. The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks, and caution is necessary when entering the market. If the operation of locking the order is not ideal, please communicate with me. WeChatalya6688；QQ：845062546