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韩国央行将维持观望数据的模式

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Huitong Network11month1日讯——韩国10monthCPI同比增幅升至八个月高位,受生鲜食品价格上扬推动,但分析师表示,现在就确定整体物价涨势中有多少是受需求拉动的,为时尚早。
   
多数分析师预期,韩国央行将维持观望数据的模式,明年初会一如市场预期再次降息。

Korea10monthCPI年增幅创八个月高位,因食品价格跳涨
  
韩国统计局的数据显示,10monthCPIIncrease over the same period of last year1.3%,全球低油价的影响消退亦起到支撑最新通胀数据的作用。10monthCPI年增幅创下今年2Monthly increase1.3%以来最高位,9Monthly growth1.2%。该数据也高于路透调查分析师的预估中值增长1.2%。
   
Korea10月新鲜食品价格按年大涨15.4%,受夏季炎热天气导致生产价格也大涨的影响。数据还显示,韩国10月蔬菜价格按年跳涨了42%。

IBK Securities固定收益分析师Kim Jina表示,很难说通胀是否是受需求驱动的。2%的央行通胀目标与实际通胀之间仍有差距,现在说央行根本不会降息还为时过早。

10monthCPIUp from the previous month0.1%, estimated to be a decline0.1%,9Monthly rise0.6%。
   
10月扣除食品和燃料价格的核心CPIIncrease compared to the same period last year1.5%, higher than9月的上升1.3%。

includeKim在内的多数分析师预计,韩国央行明年年初将降息,不过鉴于消费有改善迹象,央行可能在较长时间内按兵不动。10月服务业通胀基本持稳于1.8%,9Month is1.9%。

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