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机构:FED加息在即,欧元兑美元3个月内或下测1.08the highest level

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Huitong Network10month31日讯——丹斯克银行首席分析师Allan von MehrenMonday(10month31day)预计,欧元兑美元在3个月内或会下测1.08Da Guan.
机构:FED加息在即,欧元兑美元3个月内或下测1.08the highest level

Mehren预计,本周四(10month3day)Federal ReserveFOMC宣布的利率决定与政策声明,以及本周五(10month4day)The United States to be announced10月非农就业报告,将对欧元兑美元汇率产生重大影响。

Mehren还称,尽管其预计美联储在本周三会维持利率不变,但此次的货币政策声明或十分有趣。去年,美联储在10月货币政策会议上或多或少就已暗示将在12月加息,且不可能等到来年。鉴于距离今年12月货币政策会议还有不到一个半月,市场已或多或少预计,美联储将在年底最后一次会议上加息,而不是在本次会议上。

Mehren指出,欧元兑美元在上周五(10month28day)大幅反弹,可能是空头仓位激增后空头回补所致。且国际货币市场(IMM)数据显示,截止到上周二(10month25day),投资者正在日益在做空欧元兑美元。

Mehren最后表示,尽管空头扩张趋势还略显薄弱,其仍预计欧元兑美元在1个月内将下测1.09关口,而在3个月内将下测1.08关口,且建议短期内应以逢高做空为主。

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