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Dong Xiangxi:10month21Midnight Review: The US Index stands out alone,crude oilWaiting for commodity prices to remain low
Macro observation of oil prices:
Since2014Mid year,OPECIn order to compete for more market share, various oil producing countries (OPEC) sparked an oil price war, and since then, oil prices have fluctuated violently, with the lowest drop reaching27dollar/The low point of the bucket, even in the last century70The level of the era is not as good. Starting this year, oil prices have continued to reboundV-Challenge:dxx904The reason for believing that the rebound in oil prices is absolute is as follows:
1、27The oil price level of the US dollar is indeed too low for anyone to afford, and no one has taken advantage of it. It harms the enemy by one thousand and self harms by eight hundred.
2The price has dropped to the point where shale oil cannot be extracted, and the market is saturated.
3Low oil prices have caused unrest in various regions, especially Russia, which will defend its own interests at all costs. Russia's active mediation has played a very important role.
Today2016year10month21Daily trend analysis:
Yesterday, the head of the European Central Bank, Draghi, spoke and will not stopQEThe US dollar skyrocketed uncontrollably, and various commodities fell in price one after another, turning green. At the same time, he did not discuss reducing bond purchases, which also raised concerns in the market about the European debt market. There was not much news in the market today, and oil prices showed signs of rebounding at the beginning of the period. However, after the US market opened, the US index immediately regained its home ground. Commodities, especially oil prices, fell rapidly, and the hard-earned gains during the day were quickly thrown out, leaving bulls feeling powerless. Technically speaking, it is worth pondering what kind of line the weekly chart will end with this week. Currently, the upward lead is relatively long, and if it closes bearish, there is a possibility of a short-term peak. Selling in the future will open up, and if it closes positive, it can at least give bulls a hint of suspense. Daily chart, closed with a large bearish candlestick yesterday, with the trend line intact and the upward channel continuing to operate. The crossing of the moving averages indicates divergence, with the opening facing downwards.4Looking at the hourly chart, the upward trend line channel is intact, but22:00The closing of the line implies yin swallowing yang, which is a short-term bearish trend. In summary, the current operating price of oil prices is not only affected by the US dollar, but is also likely to be further suppressed by technical factors. However, we cannot ignore the influence of trend lines, as they will eventually fall and begin to rebound. Dong Xiangxi is in operationV-Challenge:dxx904Strictly abide by the rules, sell high and sell low.
10.21Midnight can refer to operational suggestions:
Huakuang Asphalt:2500Long nearby, stop loss20Point, look at the target2550-2560。
Huakuang Silver:3825Nearby light warehouse empty, stop loss30Point, look at the target3780Near.
Dong Xiangxi has been working in the field of finance for several years, with rich practical experience and unique insights into market analysis and trading strategies. Up to now, familiar with risk and profit management in the financial industry. Hope to provide guidance on your investment direction!Whether you are doing real positions, simulating, novice or experienced, please adjust your mentality and respect the market for hedging, losses, or short positions. Therefore, add guidance on limited time opening for real positions on WeChat:dxx904Following Dong Xiangxi's ideas will help you regain confidence and showcase your talents in the investment market. |
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