Daqin Commodity-王起文：油价强势跳空高开，现货沥青EIA，黄金布局分析

Daqin Commodity-王起文：油价强势跳空高开，现货沥青EIA，gold布局分析
Message surface analysis
Wednesday(10month19day)现货白银在开盘后维持窄幅震荡的走势，目前跌约0.10%to17.60dollar/盎司附近交投。稍早中国公布的GDP数据表现强劲，但9月工业产出表现不佳，银价对此反应较为平淡，后市走势料等待受美元指数的指引。

Wednesday(10month19day)crude oil盘初，油价延续涨势，震荡上行。美油交投于50.79dollar/Near the barrel, the increase is approximately0.99%; Oil distribution and trading52.16dollar/Near the barrel, the increase is approximately0.04%。APILarge reduction in crude oil inventory378.8万桶，缓解市场对原油供给过剩的忧虑情绪。OPEC秘书长巴尔金都讲话，再度增强市场对OPEC限产协议达成的乐观预期，美元走软也在一定程度上支撑油价。周三晚间即将公布的EIA原油库存报告，料再掀市场风雨。
　　近期部分美国经济数据表现不佳，兼之美元指数在经历大幅上涨后进行技术性修正，引发美元指数小幅回调，同时，全球最大的黄金ETF—SPDRGOLDTRUST持仓连续增加，共同助力金价在经历近两周的大跌后开始企稳反弹。
Technical analysis
　　现货沥青早早间的API数据利多情况下出现了跳空高开局面，日内一直维持高位横盘震荡。日线图KLine receiving10日均线支撑上方关注近期高点2554element/吨的破位情况，在没有破位之前个人建议可以布局一次空单进场。MACD红色能量逐步缩减，KDJ勾头向上呈震荡上行趋势，只是近期放缓了上涨的步伐。晚间的EIA原油库存数据或为本次行情助力奔跑。四小时图布林带缩口走平后又开始向上拉开，短线已经突破布林上轨呈慢牛震荡行情在走，MACD金叉放量，短线预计还是蓄力再上涨一波。综合来看，沥青整体还是偏于多头强势，操作上尽量以回调做多为主，具体晚间数据等待EIA给予指引。


　　大秦沥青晚间操作建议
Strategy 1:2550Short selling, stop loss30Point, look at the target50Points
　　策略二：突破2580Callback2570Long, stop loss2540, look at the goal2630
　　策略三：下方2500Long, stop loss30Point, look at the target30-50Points


　　大秦白银晚间操作建议
　　策略一：回调3820Long, stop loss3790, look at the goal3850、3870
　　策略二：上方突破3880Callback3870加仓做多，止损3840, look at the goal3900/3950
　　（温馨提示：以上建议仅供参考，不同平台之间存在点差；此策略不具备及时性，建议采用挂单交易策略。更多策略请添加加入本人薇信wqw104wqwYou can obtain it from the actual combat department


　　现货黄金日内继续震荡走高，已经打破近期来的震荡小箱体，昨晚收盘站上1260美元，这将视为短线看涨信号，回落关注10日均线压制，上行关注中轨道压制，四小时，布林开口向上，短线K线突破并且站稳上轨上方呈多头趋势发展，晚间预计有望继续新高，同时也符合笔者前期预测只要低点1241不破，中线多头布局都是不错的时机。目前来看，突破1265美元将抵达了1270附近止盈位置，短线只是回调预计回调之后再次走高，所以操作上适合低多为主。

Suggestions for spot gold operation
Strategy 1:1265Long, stop loss1262, look at the goal1270/1277
Strategy 2: First touch1277可空一次，严格止损1280, look at the goal1270
Profit or loss is what makes a market profit or loss. It's like riding a roller coaster, with peaks and valleys, which means that whether it's good or bad right now, it's only temporary. Why do investors value short-term gains and losses so much? Investment is an early stage process, and what we need to achieve is to make big profits and make small losses! In this process, there may be more or less scars and unpleasant moments, but scars are in the past. The past does not equal the present, let alone the future. No matter how unfortunate or scarred the past is, it is not important. What is important is that when the direction is wrong, whether you have learned to stop, attitude determines success or failure, but direction is definitely more important than effort. The best boatman on the sea, when the direction is wrong, The wind blowing from any direction will be against the wind. Don't fantasize about every transaction always being round and fulfilling. Profit and loss need to be balanced, and gains and losses also need to be felt. Investing in the market is like traveling, always in a hurry, with so much confusion and confusion. Only by calming down can we dispel the clouds and mist that are shrouded in front of us;Tasting a cup of tea quietly, I realized that there were many opportunities right in front of me.
　　晚间重点关注消息面
　　20:30U.S.A9月新屋开工(Annualized monthly rate)Previous value-5.8%expect+2.5%Market Impact ★★
　　20:30U.S.A9Annualized total monthly construction of new houses(10000 households)Previous value114.2expect117Market Impact ★★
　　20:30U.S.A9Total monthly construction permits(10000 households)Previous value115.2expect116Market Impact ★★
　　22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in crude oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1014)Previous value+490Market Impact ★★★
　　22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAOklahoma Cushing crude oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1014)Previous value-131.8Market Impact ★★★
　　22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in refined oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1014)Previous value-374.6
　　22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in gasoline inventory(10000 barrels)(to1014)Previous value-190.7
　　02:00美国美联储发布经济状况褐皮书市场影响★★