Banda Asia:CPIStrong Brexit Concerns Alleviated GBP refresh1Weekly high point

A survey released by Reuters yesterday showed that economists expect the US economy to grow moderately next year, keeping inflation low. However, the Federal Reserve12The probability of monthly interest rate hikes has increased70%. Last week, Reuters approached100A survey by renowned economists shows that the annualized quarterly growth rate of the US economy is expected to decrease from the second quarter in the third quarter1.4%Accelerate to2.6%But in the fourth quarter, this number will slow down to2.3%; before 9The monthly surveys are as follows:2.8%、2.3%. The interviewed economists also anticipate that,2017Year, United States4The economic growth rate for the first quarter may vary2.0%-2.1%Wandering within the interval. The survey shows that the probability of a regression in the United States in the coming years is15%，9The monthly survey data is20%. The investigation also pointed out that,2017The annual average unemployment rate in the United States will decrease from the current5.0%lower4.7%; The average monthly increase in employment opportunities is approximately15Ten thousand, this year's number is17.8Ten thousand. The investigation also suggests that the Federal Reserve2017Interest rates will be raised in the second and fourth quarters of this year2Times, every time interest rates are raised25One basis point, the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate range is1.0%-1.125%。

In addition, according to a survey released by the European Central Bank yesterday, the eurozone banking industry is preparing to tighten corporate credit for the first time in two and a half years, as banks have become more risk averse and negative interest rates have also eroded their profits. The lending survey by the European Central Bank shows that as of9During the three-month period of the month, banks stopped relaxing their corporate credit standards, with a weak majority expected to tighten credit standards this quarter. This survey was conducted in9Monthly. Bankers point out that a decrease in risk tolerance is one of the reasons for tightening monetary policy, and they also express concerns about the European Central Bank's negative interest rate measures. The negative interest rate measures of the European Central Bank are essentially charging fees for deposits held by banks with the central bank.   


The data that needs attention today is the third quarter of ChinaGDPAnnual rate, China9Annual rate of monthly total retail sales of consumer goods, UK9Monthly unemployment rate, United States9Monthly annualized rate of new housing construction, United States9Monthly construction permit rate and the United States10month14Day and WeekEIAcrude oilInventory changes. In addition, the Bank of Canada will release interest rate decisions and monetary policy reports in the evening, which also require attention.


USD Index

The US dollar index fluctuated and fell yesterday, with a slight daily decline and spot exchange prices trading at97.90Nearby. Profit taking is the main reason for the pressure on the US dollar index to fall for two consecutive trading days. In addition, some of the inflation data released by the United States during the period did not perform as expected, which also put some pressure on the exchange rate. However, the decline of the US Composite Index is limited as investors believe that the US9Overall monthly inflation data still supports the Federal Reserve12Expected interest rate hike for the month. Follow Today98.30Nearby pressure situation, supported below97.50Near.

euro/dollar

The euro fluctuated and fell yesterday, with a slight daily decline. The current exchange rate was traded at1.0990Nearby. Analysis suggests that the bearish technical indicators of the euro are the main reason for the pressure on the euro to weaken due to the suppression of technical selling. In addition, during the time period, the United States announced9The overall performance of monthly inflation data is good, supporting the Federal Reserve12The expected interest rate hike in the month has also put some pressure on the euro. However, the decline of the euro was limited by the weakening of the US dollar index due to profit taking and investors remaining cautious ahead of the European Central Bank's interest rate decision on Thursday. Follow Today1.1080Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.0900Near.

pound/dollar

The pound fluctuated and climbed yesterday, reaching a one week high. The current exchange rate is trading at1.2300Nearby. Except for the weakening of the US dollar index under the pressure of profit taking, which provided some support for the exchange rate, the UK released9monthCPIAnnual rate increase1.0%Increase in value2014year11The highest level in recent months, and a lawyer representing the UK government, stated that the Brexit agreement is "likely" to require parliamentary approval, easing investor concerns about Brexit and supporting the pound's rebound. Follow Today1.2400Nearby pressure situation, supported below1.2200Near.

Spot crude oil
Looking at the four hour chart, the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are flat, and prices are running near the upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands,KDJThe indicators diverge upwards twice,MACDThe red column emission of kinetic energy,
Overall, the price is still at a high level for consolidation, and it is recommended to focus on a lower price strategy,
Doing long positions:286Nearby, stop loss283Below, target290-292nearby
Short selling positions:295Nearby, stop loss298Above, target290-288nearby

Spot Silver
Looking at the four hour chart, the three tracks of the Bollinger Bands are flat, and prices are running near the upper tracks of the Bollinger Bands,KDJThree line leveling and bonding indicators,MACDThe reduction of kinetic energy red column,
Overall, the current silver price is still at a low level for consolidation. If there is no significant data impact, the consolidation market may continue in the future. In terms of operation, the strategy of high selling and low slag can be adopted,
Short selling positions:3710Nearby, stop loss3740Above, target3660-3640nearby
Doing long positions:3620Nearby, stop loss3590Below, target3680-3700nearby

Spot copper
Looking at the four hour chart, the Bollinger Belt has a three track necking, and the price runs below the middle of the Bollinger Belt,KDJAfter the dead cross of the indicators, there are signs of leveling in the three lines,MACDThe red and green pillars of kinetic energy are constantly shifting, and prices are supported by the downward trend, which hinders the market,
Overall, if the downward trend does not break through, there may be a rebound in the future market. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on a low to high strategy
Doing long positions:31440Nearby, stop loss31300Below, target31670-31740nearby
Short selling positions:31800Nearby, stop loss32000Above, target31600-31500nearby
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