Daqin Commodity-Wang Qiwen: Is the reason for the rise in oil prices simply "oversupply"?

Daqin Commodity-Wang Qiwen: Is the reason for the rise in oil prices simply "oversupply"?
Tuesday(10month18day)欧市盘中，国际crude oil价格大幅走高，因一些分析师称油市可能并不像很多人认为的那样供应过剩。
　　王起文薇信（wqw104wqw）认为，油市可能比之前的预期更趋于实现供需平衡，这种观点支撑油价。
　　除了估算产出和消费外，判断供需平衡的一个办法就是分析燃料库存变化。
　　“今年第三季全球石油库存(行业和政府数据)increase170010000 barrels to56.18亿桶。这是2014年第四季以来最小增幅，证实了随着市场恢复平衡，库存增长在放缓，”Bernstein Energy周二在报告中称。
　　Bernstein称，近期库存下降“表明油市可能要比一些人料想的更接近再平衡，”但补充称，未来“主要取决于OPEC会在11月底维也纳会议时准备减产多少”。
　　此外，支撑油价走高的因素还有，在北半球即将迎来冬季取暖需求高峰之前，全球石油库存的增速低于预期。
　　除此之外，有市场人士指出，美元指数自七个月高位回落也支撑了油价。
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Will be on11month30日开会讨论在9月产量的基础上每日减产约100万桶的计划。9月日产量达到创纪录的3360Ten thousand barrels.
　　尽管可能减产，但交易商称，油价仍承受需求放缓担忧带来的压力，尤其是作为近些年需求增长主力的亚洲方面。
Beijing Time16:48Brent crude oilfuturesrise in price0.45%Report51.91dollar/桶；美国原油期货价格上涨0.90%Report50.39dollar/Bucket.
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