叶雯熙：原油多头再次挑战51关口，黑色周五谨防获利回吐

Market information:

Friday(10month14day)crude oil价格亚盘震荡上行，再度反弹至50Above the US dollar.EIA库存超预期增加490万桶，原油价格为何反转拉升，且晚间耶伦讲话及石油钻井公布，原油价格50关口拉锯战再度打响。关注叶雯熙公众号指导微信ywx5252.

EIA库存大增 汽油与精炼油大减

Thursday(10month14day)原油价格美盘时段，因EIA公布上演一场深V反转好戏。数据显示，美原油库存超预期大增，但汽油与精炼油下降，因此，原油价格反转拉升至50美元上方。不过，叶雯熙认为，美原油库存6周首增令油价涨幅受限，建议投资者谨慎追多。

EIA数据显示，在截至10month7日该周，上周美国原油库存增加490Ten thousand barrels, market estimate for increase65万桶，为六周以来首次增加，且增幅为4month8日当周以来最大。EIA库存虽超预期增加，但汽油与精炼油大减令成品油futures上涨，致使美原油库存增加影响抵消，原油价格实现反转拉升。

Technical analysis of crude oil:

  原油隔夜先跌后涨，日内开盘再次冲高，日线来看，布林带开口向上，KThe line runs below the upper track of the Bollinger Belt, as shown in the attached figureMACD指标红色动能放量持续减弱，快慢线黏合向下走缓。若无重大利好消息，多头上行动能不足。四小时来看，布林带缩口，k线布林带中轨上方，附图MACD指标绿色动能不断缩量，MA5/MA10有交金叉之势，KDJ随机指标向上发散，短期多头趋势犹存。由于今天是本周最后一个交易日，谨防黑色星期五获利回吐。操作上笔者公众号叶雯熙建议以低多为主。

   Operation strategy:

一、回落50.6Long, stop loss0.3USD, target51.

二、上探51.2Short nearby, stop loss0.3US dollars, look at the target50.7-50.5.

叶雯熙寄语：Investors can make judgments based on how the market will be expected based on fundamentals, but even if the judgment is accurate, the timing and strength of the market trend caused by this expectation may still far exceed your expectations. This actually proves how difficult it is to make accurate market predictions, even if it is based on a bunch of proven correct judgments. Because if market volatility is a big deal, then 'facts' are just one of the ingredients.