Zhang Huili: Debate ends, gold under pressure falls, frozen production has no hopeAPITo stop the downward trend

Zhang Huilijin: Debate endsgoldUnder pressure and falling back, there is no hope for frozen productionAPITo stop the downward trend
　　
　　
Tuesday(9month27day)Spot goldcrude oilThey all fell sharply and closed at the bearish candlestick. Gold has been trading continuously for several days1340After being blocked at a high level nearby, yesterday it couldn't bear the heavy pressure and experienced a significant pullback during trading, breaking through the recent strong support1330, lowest touch1325Nearby. In terms of crude oil, due to market expectations that the freeze production agreement may be difficult to reach, oil prices will be affected46Falling nearby, with the lowest point reaching44.19We are45.8There are also empty tickets entering nearby44.8Significant profits have been made nearby.
　　
　　昨日早间美国两名总统候选人进行了首场电视辩论。希拉里和特朗普就美国的繁荣、未来发展和国家安全等问题展开了一番唇枪舌战，市场随着辩论激烈展开而波动。此次辩论结果似乎希拉里略胜一筹，支撑市场风险偏好利好美元，金价随之回落。再加上本周密集的美联储官员讲话，或引起市场对加息预期的高涨，所以金价回落也是必然之势。在线分析指导操作张慧理金扣2372947514Wei Xinzhlj237。
　　
　　原油方面，市场关注的阿尔及利亚会议传出了让人失望的消息，沙特油长和伊朗油长都不认为在本次会议上能够达成协议，打压油价走低，回吐因此前寄望会上能达成协议而录得的涨幅。不过APIThe unexpected significant decrease in crude oil inventories has limited the decline in oil prices. The meeting will end soon and a press conference will be held. If there is no progress on the freeze production, oil prices may be further suppressed.
　　
Technical analysis:
　　
　　黄金：从技术面来看日线弱势下跌的通道比较明显，从1373Starting from the nearby high point and continuing until1365-1353-1343Forming a high point moving downwards, while the low point is in1311-1303The front line has formed support rebounds for many times, and the negative line on Tuesday also stepped back to the middle track of the daily line Brin Belt. This time, Zhang Huili, the official account of Weixin, thinks that it will not fall to the lower track as before. After all, the gold support is still strong. This week's gold price trend may be put to the test, but as long as we can hold onto the lower defense line, the probability of breaking through the upper resistance in the future is relatively high. Currently, we can1320As the last line of defense nearby. In terms of intraday market trends, today's market is still dominated by news reports. There will be heavyweight speeches by Yellen and Draghi, as well as speeches by Federal Reserve Board member Brad, which deserves our close attention. At present, the middle band of the Bollinger Bands1327There may be short-term choices in the nearby market, let's see if the market continues to decline or stabilizes and rebounds. Follow above1335-1340A rebound resistance on the front line, while below it remains1323-1320The frontline support checkpoint is particularly important. In terms of operation, it is advisable to maintain a focus on short selling at high prices, pay attention to the strength and weakness of the market, watch more and move less, and be steady.
　　
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
　　
　　1Upward rebound1335-1337Short on the front line, stop loss1340Look at the target below1328-1326frontline;
　　
　　2Step back below1323-1320Long on the front line, stop loss1318On the target1330-1332frontline;
　　
　　3If it falls below1317rebound1320-1322Short on the front line, stop loss1325Look at the target below1313-1310frontline.
　　
　　原油：周二欧盘时段国际能源论坛将正式开幕，伊朗油长赞加内发表讲话中称，伊朗希望把产量增加至40010000 barrels/And reaching an agreement in the next two days is not on our agenda. During the US session, OPEC Secretary General Barkindo also stated that Russia will not participate in Wednesday's OPEC informal talks. Under such influence, US oil prices fell and the daily chart touched44.19Low position. Today's meeting will come to an end and a press conference will be held. Whether the meeting can achieve the expected results will determine whether oil prices will stabilize and rebound or break through the underlying support and continue to decline. Daily oil prices are still the top concern44The support strength near the checkpoint has fluctuated in recent trading days, but has not fallen below it. If the market continues to decline today, it may make up for the gap in the previous period43.50Below. The current resistance above is mainly concentrated in46-46.50Within this range, although there have been many recent breakthroughs, they have not been able to effectively stabilize, and this range is also an important watershed for whether oil prices can rise in the long run in the later stage. In terms of intraday operations, Zhang Huilijin suggests that the range should still be bearish, and before the news is announced, it should not be too aggressive, patiently waiting for the guidance of the news on the market.
　　
　　原油部分操作建议：
　　
　　1Step back below44.30-44.00Long on the front line, stop loss43.80On the target45.00-45.20frontline;
　　
　　2If there is a breakthrough above45.20Close in, stop loss44.80On the target45.80-46.00frontline;
　　
　　3Touching from above46.30-46.50Short on the front line, stop loss46.80Look at the target below45.30-45.00frontline.
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2016year9month28Day Wednesday
　　14:00Germany10monthGfkConsumer confidence index15:00Switzerland9monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
　　16:00欧洲央行行长德拉基和副行长康斯坦西奥发表讲话
　　19:30国际能源论坛将发表论坛声明及举行新闻发布会
　　20:30U.S.A8Monthly rate of durable goods orders
　　21:30欧洲央行行长德拉基在德国联邦议院发表讲话
　　22:00美联储主席耶伦在众议院作证词、欧佩克在阿尔及尔召开非正式会谈
　　22:15Federal Reserve2016yearFOMCVoting Committee Brad delivers a speech
　　22:30From the United States to9month23Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
The next day04:30Federal Reserve2016yearFOMC票委梅斯特发表讲话
　　
　　以上文章由分析师张慧理金撰写，文章内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。投资有风险，投资者谨慎操作，转载请注明出处。