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Qian Weizhe:EIA原油沥青多空横扫,后市如何?多空单被套解套

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  EIAcrude oil库存意外下降,油价短线跌幅收窄
  
  昨天晚上美国能源信息署(EIA)数据显示,上周原油库存意外减少55.9Ten thousand barrels, expected to increase400万桶,此前一周为大降1451.3万桶。数据公布后,油价短线反弹,但此后又回落。目前美油跌2.2%
  
  原油沥青为什么暴涨暴跌:
                
  1、EIA精炼油库存大增,EIARefined oil inventory increase461.9Ten thousand barrels, creating1月以来最大单周增幅,达到2010年同期以来新高,预期为增加150万桶,此前一周为增加338.2万桶。令投资者期望备受打击。
  
  2、WTI原油交割地库欣地区库存减少124.5万桶,降幅创12周来最大,并录得连续第三周下降,预期为减少10万桶,此前一周为减少43.4Ten thousand barrels.
  
  3、9month9Day and WeekEIA精炼厂设备利用率为92.9%, lower than expected93.4%The previous week was93.7%。这表明,有更少的原油转化成了汽油和其它燃料。
  
  目前除了EIA库存数据对于原油市场影响较大之外,OPEC各大产油国将在9月在阿尔及利亚召开会议也是影响到原油市场的重要因素,对于会议达成的协议无外乎四种可能:
  
  一、全体冻产;
  
  二、部分国家冻产,部分得到豁免;
  
  三、减产;
  
  四、不会达成冻产协议,不会达成冻产协议被认为是最可能的结果
                
  原油沥青技术面分析及操作建议:
  
In theEIAAfter announcing an unexpected decrease in US crude oil inventories last week, oil prices recovered all the decline and instead rose, but quickly gave upEIAThe benefits brought by it have once again declined. From the current daily chart, although the price rebounded significantly on Monday, it did not effectively stabilize the intraday Bollinger Bands. On Tuesday, the price was under pressure and the intraday Bollinger Bands fell. Today, the price weakened again and briefly fell below44The US dollar is on the front line, and currently there are signs of an opening in the daily bullish trend, with signs of a downward trend in the mid and lower tracks. Combining daily levelsKDJas well asMACDCome up and see, the current daily chartMACDSecondary dead cross scaling, andKDJ已形成死叉向下运行。钱伟哲威信qwz2498建议后市操作上,大周期没有止跌企稳迹象之前,操作上钱伟哲威信qwz2498建议逢高布局空单为主,下方若触及41.8/41.6Only on the first line of the US dollar can we consider placing multiple orders in the medium to long term. Key focus and support mainly lie in43.4The key resistance above is45.1。
                   
  What to do with the long and empty single quilt cover of crude oil asphalt?
  
TodayEIA的行情可谓起伏不定。由于本次原油库存数据显示参差不齐,原油库存出人意料的录得下降,但精炼油、汽油库存均意外增加,原油价格短线上演了所谓的“反连反”行情。美原油价格在数据公布瞬间跳水,而后急剧拉升,上方触及45.14dollar/桶的位置时涨势受阻,在经过短时间的抉择后油价直线大幅跳水,并刷新9month2Since the low point of the day43.81dollar/桶。直接导致很多投资朋友多也被扫空也被扫。对于被套的朋友伟哲给出一些建议:
  
  钱伟哲建议多单在44.5附近出局,反手做空。空单暂时不用担心,晚间预计会震荡下跌。由于平台不同点位不同,具体的解套策略可带持仓截图来咨询威信qwz2498。钱伟哲将根据你的仓位,点位及自己给予确切的解套策略。
  
  投资的本身就是一种对自身的修炼。不断的修炼,才能晋升为成功者的行列。想要走的更远,与谁同行才是关键,一个人能走多远,要看他有谁同行;How excellent a person is depends on their guidance;You see more paper talk, I treat more frightened birds.钱伟哲不敢妄自下承诺说我能带你百分百赚钱,但是我相信我可以,你的单子在我永远在,你安心把双手给我,我绝对不会让你迷路。
     作者:钱伟哲 authorityqwz2498 tencent/on line/12891/04701
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