Su Qianqin:9month14原油市场解析及EIA行情预测（投资风向标）

　　一、市场基本面解读：

In the latestcrude oilMessage surfaceAPIAnnounced positive news this morning, but inventory growth far fell short of expected targets, while refined oil inventories achieved8The largest increase in months. Oil prices fluctuated in the chaotic morning data, even earlierIEAThe monthly report made a stunning change, hitting the bull trend hard. Investors focus on tonight'sEIA报告，以判断上周原油库存大降是否是一次性的事件。更多市场走势及行情解析可加苏倩芩薇信xly645Learn more.

Although US crude oil inventories increased as expected by the market after the hurricane, the increase was not as significant as expected450Ten thousand barrels,WTIShort term rise in oil prices0.5dollar/bucket;But at the same time, the refined oil depot recorded530.9The increase of ten thousand barrels is8The largest increase in months, with market concerns that crude oil supply will continue to rebound after the hurricane,WTIAs a result, oil prices have risen again45dollar/Falling back above the bucket44-45dollar/The interval of the bucket.

Following the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Afterwards, the International Energy Agency(IEA)A pessimistic monthly report has also been released, as investors have significantly reduced their expectations for the frozen production talks at the end of this month, and the rebound of the US dollar has also put pressure on oil prices. Despite the announcement of the United States this morningAPI原油库存数据优于预期，但油价短暂上扬后重回跌势。

　　二、苏倩芩个人观点：

　　在早间APIAfter the data was released, although inventory increased as expected, it was far from perfect, and there are still hidden dangers in the market supply. If the growth rate exceeds expectations and is significantly bearish, it will continue to be bearish for crude oil in the long term. In the current situation, crude oil prices will fall to44The US dollar may be easy, and if the growth meets expectations, oil prices will fall to44Above the US dollar, there may be support, but if the reversal is bullish, crude oil prices may rebound47.50Near the US dollar. Because last weekAPI库存大减，若本周继续下降，或证实非暴风影响，原油价格将持续受到提振。

　　如果你也是现货原油投资者中的一员，如果你还想知道更多的行情解析，想更准确的把握住市场脉络，请加苏倩芩指导薇信xly645，实时为你指导，为你排忧解惑。

Author: Su Qianqin

Time:2016.9.14