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Fei Yifei:8.23市场热议美升息,黄金震荡高空为主

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  一生能够积累多少财富,不取决于你能够赚多少钱,而取决于你如何投资理财,钱找人胜过人找钱,要懂得钱为你工作,而不是你为钱工作。”
  
Monday(8month22day)消息面寥寥,市场的焦点已经转向周五美联储主席耶伦的讲话之上。在耶伦讲话之前,市场谨慎,美元指数震荡交投。crude oil方面,此前冻产预期对油价的支撑逐渐减弱,而供应过剩的忧虑又重新浮出水面,中国燃料出口急增、伊拉克和尼日利亚不断增加产量、美国原油钻井平台不断增加,再加上多头回补的压力,在这些因素的共同影响下,油价结束此前多日连涨行情,最终大幅收跌3%。
  
  具体市场上,美元指数震荡交投于94.50关口上方,在周五美联储耶伦讲话之前市场交投谨慎;欧元兑美元震荡交投于1.13关口附近,葡萄牙信贷违约忧虑有所缓和,市场整体交投清淡;金价震荡交投于两周低位,市场热议美联储升息前景;油价大跌3%,受供应过剩忧虑和多头回补头寸打压。
  
  近来美联储官员发表偏鹰派言论支撑美元。周日美联储副主席费希尔(StanleyFischer)的言论推升美国年底前加息的押注。他在周日讲话时暗示2016年加息仍在考虑之中,称美国经济已经接近达到该央行的目标,增长将获得动能。
  
  费希尔表示,“我们现在离目标很近,展望未来,我预计随着投资从意外疲软的局面中复苏,之前美元升值造成的拖累减少,GDP增长率将在未来几个季度回升。尽管在截至6At the end of the month12个月,整体PCE通胀不到1%,但是核心PCE通胀为1.6%,2%触手可及,同时核心CPI当前高于2%。我们正在接近我们的目标。”
  
  除了周四美联储费希尔的升息言论,上周美联储官员杜德利及威廉姆斯也发表升息言论,认为9月升息合理。这都为美元带来支撑。
  
Technical analysis:
  
Spotgold方面,日线图上昨日收取一根带下影线的小阳,晚间走势较强,一直处于高位横盘,但是最终未能突破阻力位,今日开盘有明显回落的走势,BOLL下轨线可能愈合通道中轨线继续在1330形成支撑,但是实际上周线下跌形态更为明显充沛。4小时上,金价总算是走完了一波金叉,附图STO指标出现向下拐头,日内有望结成新的一轮死叉下跌,阻力位关注1339-40and1343附近,操作上高空为主!
  
Suggestions for spot gold operations:
  
  1Above1339-40Short selling, stop loss1344, Objective1333-31frontline;
  
  2For the first time1330Long nearby, stop loss1327, Objective1336-38;
  
  3, breaking through1330, rebound2-3个点追空,利润目标咨询笔者本人;
  
In terms of Ninggui Asphalt, yesterday's bearish candlestick appeared somewhat abrupt, almost entirely showing a physical decline. Today, the opening price also opened on the daily chart at onceMA5Below the trajectory line, the downward space opens up again toMA135Moving average support4470Near, and above the front support lineMA5At this point, the moving average evolves into a resistance role, roughly distributed around4580-4600On the front line, temporarily focusing on high altitude operations, actively catering to market trends.
  
Suggestions for the operation of Ninggui asphalt:
  
  1Above4580-4600Short selling, stop loss40Points, target4520-00frontline;
  
  2Below4460-80Long, stop loss40Points, target4550-60frontline;
  
Today's Key Financial Data and Events2016year8month23Day Tuesday
  
  ①14:00Switzerland7Monthly trade account
  
  ②15:00France8Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
  
  ③15:30Germany8Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
  
  ④16:00eurozone8Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
  
  ⑤18:00britain8monthCBIIndustrial order difference
  
  ⑥21:45U.S.A8monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value
  
⑦22:00U.S.A7Annualized total monthly new home sales, US8Monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
  
⑧ The next day04:30From the United States to8month19Day and WeekAPICrude oil inventory
  
Disclaimer: The above article was written by analyst Fei Yifei. Some news and information content is excerpted from online resources. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. For more details, please consult Fei Yifeiq:2930550190Spot gold and silver ordering experience group:166,029,930Group entry verification code:FYF(Required). Investment carries risks, and investors operate accordingly at their own risk. If reprinted, please indicate the source
  
  
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