一诺大师：8.20周评，沙特原油出口创三个月新高，下周原油天然气操作策略！

最新数据显示，沙特6月混合crude oil和成品油出口增至88310000 barrels/日，创历史同期纪录新高，同时也是该国在全球市场上所占份额扩大的最新证据。受季节性因素影响，沙特每年夏季国内用电量比较大，电厂发电用油比较多，因此6reach9月原油出口会呈下降趋势。

今日重点数据关注：

01:00 U.S.A8month19日当周天然气钻井总数

01:00 U.S.A8month19日当周总钻井总数

01:00 U.S.A8month19Total number of oil drilling in the current week

行情回顾：油市、汇市、金市、期市

国际油市

油价周五收盘持稳至走高，美国原油录得3月以来最大周度升幅，在逾两周多一点的时间内，急升了近25%，分析师警告称这波升势没有得到基本面支撑。原油futuressince8月初以来每桶已上涨近10美元，因猜测沙特和其它石油输出国组织(OPEC)成员国将在下月与以俄罗斯为首的非OPEC产油国就冻产达成一致。升势推动市场重回牛市，此前在8月初油市在技术上进入熊市。

全球金市

金价周五下跌逾1%，终结了四连涨走势，之前美国联邦储备理事会(FED/Federal Reserve)就升息时机给出了相互矛盾的信号，但本周金价仍将连续第二周上涨。现货金最多跌1.5%至盘中低位每盎司1337.37美元，但随后扳回部分失地，至1857, Down0.7%Report1,342.62美元。本周金价将上涨约0.6%。美国期金收跌0.8%To per ounce1,346.2USD.

全球汇市

美元指数尾盘上涨0.37%, to94.508，但势将录得1.3%的周线跌幅，因之前对美联储今年是否升息存疑。这将是美元指数连续第二周下跌。美元兑欧元和瑞郎周五从近八周低点反弹，此前美联储官员加入越来越多同僚暗示的支持未来几个月升息的阵营。

金属期市

London Metal Exchange(LME)期铜等工业金属周五下滑，成交缩量，受美元走强、股市和油价回落影响。分析师表示，对下半年铜供应过剩的持续忧虑也令市场承压。指标LME三个月期铜收低0.3%Reported per ton4798美元，周四大涨0.8%，周一曾触及一个月低点。

现货原油行情技术分析：

日线油价强势破位六连阳，总体趋势而言还是一个多头，只不过涨势变缓，油价进一步走高，如期测试了60日均线，前期支撑上移至47.10位置，均线仍是交金叉向上扩散，短期受阻MA66；4小时图中K线收线进一步变缓，重点关注上方压力48.3First line, lower support47.5，综合来看，油价短期预计继续上行趋势，价格回调就是做多的机会，操作上一诺大师建议仍以低多为主，轻仓高空单为辅。下周原油一诺大师预计会跳水低开！

　　

Spot crude oil operation strategy:

Strategy 1:48.5beautiful-49Short near the US dollar, stop loss0.3, look at the goal47.9dollar-47USD;

Strategy 2:47.5dollar-47.2Buy long near the US dollar, stop loss0.3, look at the goal48dollar-48.5USD;

下周青西天然气走势预测：

从日线上来看，K线处于中轨下方，5Daily moving average10日均线金叉上行，附图MACD死叉向下行，绿色动能柱收量，KDJ有拐头向下聚拢的趋势。从4Looking at the hourly chart,5、10、20日均线三线向下拐头的趋势放缓，布林带整体缓慢上行；附图MACD快慢线死叉下行，绿色能量柱出现，KDJ指标三线拐头向下发散运行。综合来看，上方关注压力位4320一线，下方关注支撑位4230一线，下周天然气操作上一诺老师建议高空为主。

　　

Qingxi Natural Gas Operation Strategy:

Strategy 1:4240附近多单进，止损40, Objective4310附近；破位持有

Strategy 2:4320附近空单进，止损40, Objective4230附近；破位持有

Strategy Three:4300附近可尝试空单进，止损40, look at the goal4200, breaking the limit and holding

The market does not prohibit us from making mistakes, but rather requires us to know our mistakes and be able to change them. Making a mistake does not mean losing control, letting go does not mean letting go, losing control makes it difficult to recover, and letting go leads to going with the flow. The market is fair to every investor. A magnificent fall is better than meaningless wandering, because a momentary loss can lead to a loss of confidence in the market that was once full of expectations, or dissatisfaction with one's own teacher. Here, I want to tell everyone that choice is greater than effort, and character determines fate. Therefore, the road ahead is not easy to stop. The market is a place where the strong spread their ambitions, and the weak find it difficult to move forward. The size of the heart determines the size of the stage. The past is irreparable, and in the future, I will work with you to expand our horizons and achieve success.

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(Note: The above article is original by Master Yinuo. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Master Yinuo kindly reminds that there are risks in investment and caution should be exercised when entering the market. The above only represents my personal opinion and is not used as a basis for operation. Therefore, I will bear the risks of operation based on this.)