一诺大师：8.19早评；油价步入技术性牛市，周线收官天然气原油操作策略！

导读：EIANatural Gas Report: The total natural gas inventory in the United States is33390One billion cubic feet, an increase from the same period last year3270Billion cubic feet, while also compared to5Annual average increase4050亿立方英尺。EIA公布天然气库存后，天然气futures价格短线上扬，现报2.658dollar/Million British heat.

今日重点数据关注：
14:00 Germany7monthPPIMonthly rate
20:30 Canada7monthCPIMonthly rate, Canada6Monthly retail sales rate
行情回顾：油市、汇市、金市、期市


国际油市
油价上涨布伦特crude oil升穿50dollar becauseOPEC冻产预期和美元疲弱
油价周四连续第六日上涨，布伦特原油六周来首次升穿50美元，因全球主要产油国准备就可能的冻结产量水平进行讨论。美国原油收于48.22USD, up3.06%During the trading session, high views were seen48.38USD, for7month5日以来最高。布伦特原油收高2.09%Report50.89USD, intraday high51.05USD, for6month23日以来最高。油价快速上涨，技术上已经进入牛市。美元下跌也给以美元计价的石油提供了支撑。美元兑一篮子货币下跌0.6%。

全球金市
英国降息提振金价转涨 U.S.AADP强劲令涨幅受限
Thursday（8month4日），英国央行2009年来首次降息，金价转跌为升，但美元因强劲美国ADP数据提振走强，金价涨幅受限。北京时间03：00 In stockgoldUpward movement0.3%Reported per ounce1361.14美元，离开日低1348.50USD. U.S.A12月期金收涨0.2%Reported per ounce1367.40美元。英国央行宣布降息25Bps to0.25%，创历史新低。

全球汇市
美元指数触及近八周低位 美联储会议记录显示意见分歧
美元兑欧元周四触及近八周最低水准，兑瑞郎也跌至八周低点，昨日公布的美联储7月货币政策会议记录显示，政策制定者仍倾向反对短期内加息。欧元兑美元触及日高1.1356美元，美元兑瑞郎跌至0.9540瑞郎日低。

金属期市
期铜上涨 受美元下跌助力
London Metal Exchange(LME)期铜周四上涨，因美联储7月会议记录显示决策者并不急于升息，拖累美元下滑，且对中国需求的担忧减退。指标LME三个月期铜收涨0.7%Reported per ton4810美元。三个月期铝收跌0.6%Reported per ton1683USD.

现货原油行情技术分析：

Daily chartKDJ指标方面向上发散，而附图方面红柱放量仍旧较强。4小时图看，布林带开口向上迹象明显，K线沿中轨上方向上运行，受上轨压制，MACD行情指标在零轴上方向上金叉，红色动能柱放量，KDJ行情指标向上聚拢运行，小时方面附图以及KDJ指标方面仍表现出上行趋势，下方60Daily moving average45.60附近位置支撑。早间操作上一诺大师建议低多为主，高空为辅。

Spot crude oil operation strategy:

Strategy 1:49.5-50.0One line empty, stop loss0.5, Objective49.0-48.5-48.0Near the US dollar;

Strategy 2:48Nearby, stop loss0.5, Objective49上方附近；

青西天然气行情技术分析：

日线上来看，K线运行与下轨有力回调，5，日均线均线做强力支撑，附图MACD向下发散运行，绿色动能柱增强，KDJ随机行情指标形聚拢向上运行，小时线上附图MACD快慢线向上，红色能量柱随时放量，KDJ聚拢持平运行，从4小时图来看，均线系统向上趋势运行，20日均线向上进行支撑，附图MACD快慢线向上运行，红色能量柱放量运行，KDJ指标在向上发散运行，上方关注4400一线位置，今日周五周线收官，行情波动预计会比较大，一诺老师建议操作上低多为主，高空做辅。

Qingxi Natural Gas Operation Strategy:

Strategy 1:4410附近空单进，止损40个点，目标：4300, hold against the limit;

Strategy 2:4350附近多单进，止损40个点，目标：4450, hold against the limit;

Strategy Three:4380附近可尝试多单进，损40个点，目标：4490, hold against the limit;

青西豆油行情技术分析：

上方空间已经打开，昨日进行盘整后继续走高，上方预估还有50个点，一诺说过部分回调还是看多头居上，行情再次站中轨上方，从日线图来看近期豆油呈上升之势，持续破位高点，附图MACD快慢线向上延伸，红色能量柱放量，KDJ指标持平散开，从4小时图来看，均线系统向上运行，10日均线做强有力的支撑，附图MACD快慢线趋于向上逐伸展，红色能量柱增量，KDJ指标开始向上聚拢，小时图来看，布林带中轨7068一线已经开始承压，附图MACD快慢线金叉，若下方不破位且能向上布局回调，一诺大师建议操作回调多单，空单做辅助即可。

青西豆油操作策略：

Strategy 1:7100点位附近多单进场，止损40-80Point, target7200nearby

Strategy 2:7190点位附近空单进场，止损40-80Point, target7040nearby

The market does not prohibit us from making mistakes, but rather requires us to know our mistakes and be able to change them. Making a mistake does not mean losing control, letting go does not mean letting go, losing control makes it difficult to recover, and letting go leads to going with the flow. The market is fair to every investor. A magnificent fall is better than meaningless wandering, because a momentary loss can lead to a loss of confidence in the market that was once full of expectations, or dissatisfaction with one's own teacher. Here, I want to tell everyone that choice is greater than effort, and character determines fate. Therefore, the road ahead is not easy to stop. The market is a place where the strong spread their ambitions, and the weak find it difficult to move forward. The size of the heart determines the size of the stage. The past is irreparable, and in the future, I will work with you to expand our horizons and achieve success.

writing\一诺大师v\jgtq888

(Note: The above article is original by Master Yinuo. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Master Yinuo kindly reminds that there are risks in investment and caution should be exercised when entering the market. The above only represents my personal opinion and is not used as a basis for operation. Therefore, I will bear the risks of operation based on this.)