一诺大师：8.18早评， EIA原油库存大降逾250万桶，原油天然气操作策略！

导读：北京时间周三（8month17日）晚22:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published as of8month12Day and Weekcrude oilReduced inventory recorded250.8万桶，正是和一诺老师晚间预测的利多一样，结束连续三周的增长趋势，降幅为7month8日当周以来最大。数据公布后，WTI原油迅速上涨。

今日重点数据关注：

09:30 Australia7Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment

13:30 France Q2ILOunemployment rate

16:00 eurozone6Monthly adjusted current account

16:30 britain7Monthly retail sales rate after quarterly adjustment

17:00 eurozone7monthCPI年率终值、欧元区7monthCPIMonthly rate

20:30 From the United States to8month13Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States8Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index

22:30 From the United States to8month12Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory

行情回顾：油市、汇市、金市、期市

国际油市

油价因美国库存下降而连升第五日 但沙特产量猛增威胁涨势

油价周三连续第五日上涨，受助于美元下跌，美国原油库存意外减少和汽油库存降幅大于预期，但交易商表示，沙特产量急升和技术因素，将可能使油价涨势难以持续。美国原油futures收升0.21USD, or0.5%Reported per barrel46.79美元；布伦特原油期货收涨0.62USD, or1.3%Reported per barrel49.85美元，此前触及五周高位49.93USD.

全球金市

金价回稳 美联储静候更多经济数据

goldWednesday（8month17日）持稳，美联储发布7月货币政策会议记要后，黄金走势反复。记录要示，部分美联储官员预计可能需要尽快缩紧货币政策，但普遍同意加息前需要考量更多经济数据。北京时间03：04Spot gold rose0.02%To per ounce1345.96USD.

全球汇市

美元小跌 此前美联储会议记录令押注鹰派论调人士失望

美元兑欧元、日圆和瑞郎周三逆转稍早的升势下跌，此前美联储发表的7月会议记录显示，决策者普遍认为下次升息前需看到更多数据。美元指数纽约尾盘下跌0.04%Report94.753，稍早上涨0.3%Report95.102，该指数曾一度下跌0.3%to94.510的盘中低位。

金属期市

伦敦期铜下滑 因美元上涨令需求忧虑带动的负面情绪加重

伦敦期铜价格周三下滑，因美元走强，铜价跟随油价跌势，这令需求忧虑带动的负面情绪加重。伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铜收低0.8%Report4774美元。三个月期铝变动不大，报1694USD, reported on Tuesday1693USD. 三个月期锌升0.7%Report2273美元，三个月期铅升0.2%， newspaper1878美元，三个月期锡跌0.4%Report18350美元。三个月期镍下滑0.4%Report10220USD.

现货原油行情技术分析：

国际原油在前几天周二就收出带上下影线的中阳线。油价上方最高升至46.73The lowest point below is located45.34。油价进一步走高，如期测试了60Daily moving average.41.08支撑上移至43.30，后市预计将进一步走高。日图技术指标上看，MACD红色动能柱放大，随机指标向上；布林通道中，油价位于上轨下方；短期均线向上。

从日线来看，均线MA5andMA10金叉向上运行，布林带开口，K线在布林带上轨下方运行，受46.8一线压制；四小时看，均线MA5andMA10金叉向上，拐点有向下的趋势，附图MACD聚合，绿色动能柱初现，KDJ三线拐点向上，原油上方初步阻力为46.80The preliminary support below is43.30。综合来看，一诺老师操作上建议；高空为主。

Spot crude oil operation strategy:

Strategy 1:46.80-47.00Short nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target46.00-45.80；

Strategy 2:45.70-45.90Long nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target46.50-46.80；

现货原油解套策略：

策略一：建议空单回调至46-46.3美元附近小损出局，而后补多。

策略二：多单被套的朋友，可等这波回调过后在4646.3附近做多持有至46.8-47

策略三：若是锁仓的朋友，可在46-46.3出多留多，目标看至46.8Break the position to see47美元阻力一线。一并出掉。

策略四：由于平台不同，点位不同，套单点位不同。一诺老师无法给出相应的解套策略，所以需要解套的朋友可以直接带持仓截图咨询一诺大师本人。

青西天然气行情技术分析：

从日线来看，均线MA5Up,MA10向下运行，布林带开口，K线在布林带中轨下方运行；四小时看，均线MA5andMA10金叉向上运行，附图MACD向上运行，红色动能柱缩量，KDJ三线死叉拐点向下发散，综合来看，一诺大师建议高空为主。

Qingxi Natural Gas Operation Strategy:

Strategy 1:4350附近多单进入，损40个点，目标：4450, hold against the limit;

策略二：意外下破4250附近空单进，损40个点，目标；4150, hold against the limit;

Strategy Three:4300附近可尝试多单进，损40个点，目标：4380, hold against the limit;

The market does not prohibit us from making mistakes, but rather requires us to know our mistakes and be able to change them. Making a mistake does not mean losing control, letting go does not mean letting go, losing control makes it difficult to recover, and letting go leads to going with the flow. The market is fair to every investor. A magnificent fall is better than meaningless wandering, because a momentary loss can lead to a loss of confidence in the market that was once full of expectations, or dissatisfaction with one's own teacher. Here, I want to tell everyone that choice is greater than effort, and character determines fate. Therefore, the road ahead is not easy to stop. The market is a place where the strong spread their ambitions, and the weak find it difficult to move forward. The size of the heart determines the size of the stage. The past is irreparable, and in the future, I will work with you to expand our horizons and achieve success.

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(Note: The above article is original by Master Yinuo. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Master Yinuo kindly reminds that there are risks in investment and caution should be exercised when entering the market. The above only represents my personal opinion and is not used as a basis for operation. Therefore, I will bear the risks of operation based on this.)