一诺大师：8.15早评，油气资本迎来大洗牌，今日原油天然气操作策略！

导读： 在低油价的环境下，油气公司逐渐债台高筑，并且在今年已出现无钱可借的尴尬局面。为保证公司正常运营，油气公司不得不出售其优质资产，对投资人来说，这无疑是抄底的好机会

欧美油市、汇市、金市、期市行情

国际油市

油价收涨2% 因对产油国采取行动稳定油市的希望带动空头回补

油价周五上扬约2%，本周升幅创4月来最大，沙特油长昨日有关可能采取行动帮助稳定市场的讲话触动了空头回补的升势。美国油服贝克休斯数据显示，本周美国活 跃钻机数连升七周，为逾两年最长增势，且增加17Seat12月来最大增幅，此后油价缩减部分升幅。

全球金市

美元跌幅缩窄 金价由升转跌

Friday（8month12日），金价小幅转跌，因美元缩小跌幅。美国7月零售销售零增长，美联储加息预期降温，金价闻声跳涨逾1%。稍后，美元指数跌幅缩窄，金价转 跌。北京时间02：50In stockgoldfall0.3%Reported per ounce1334.36美元，本周势将收高0.04%。现货黄金盘中高见1355.80dollar/Ounces, increase 1.4%。 U.S.A12月期金收跌0.5%Report1343.20USD.

全球汇市

The decline of the US dollar 因零售销售数据令投资人担心美国第三季经济力道

美元周五走软，此前美国公布的7Monthly retail sales unexpectedly remained unchanged, and7Monthly Producer Price Index(PPI)也下滑，市场预期为上涨，这令投资人愈发担心美国第三季经济增长强度。 The US dollar index fell0.15%Report95.725，盘中一度跌至一周最低的95.254。

金属期市

伦铜跌至一个月低点 因中国经济数据不及预期

伦敦期铜周五跌至一个月最低水准，其他工业金属也触及低点，因此前中国公布的固定资产投资和贷款数据不及预期，令市场对中国这一全球最大金属消费国的需求产 生了疑虑。伦敦金属交易所(LME)三个月期铜大跌1.8%Report4761USD, touched during trading7month12日来最低的4760.35美元。三个月期镍大跌4%Report collection 10305USD, for7month27日来最低，今日跌幅为逾一个月最大。

goods in stockcrude oilTechnical analysis:

原油行情自开盘以后一路高涨，最高点到了43.39美元位置出现一波跌势，一定程度上属于一天以内的涨势回吐，但是最终受MA10支撑。从四小时图上看，KLine receivingMA5支撑，运行于布林上轨附近，且向上刺破布林上轨，MACD快慢线上行，红色动能柱持续放量，指标多头强势；日线上至从上周EIA触底开始，V型反转完美演绎，且周五晚间下方多次抵达43.3美元不破，可见下方强力支撑，虽有回落但反弹不减；日内一诺老师继续看多原油沥青，日内重点关注上方45美元以及前期多空46The US dollar barrier;

Spot crude oil operation strategy:

Strategy 1:44.9-45布局空单，目标看44.5-44.3；

Strategy 2:44.1-44.3布局多单，目标看44.6-44.8；

策略三：首次上破45观望，若ma5未有明显拐向，回撤44.7一线可轻仓布局多单，目标看想45.4-45.5；

策略四：意外下破黄金分割线38.2%（43）轻仓空单进场反弹45补空，目标42.2-42；

青西天然气技术分析：

回顾行情，从日线上来看，K线运行与下轨徘徊，走跌势必会有部分的回调，偏空不应该在继续，5，10Daily moving average underpass60The daily moving average forms a dead cross, as shown in the attached imageMACD向下发散运行，绿色动能柱增强，KDJ随机行情指标形分散向上运行，价格受布林带中轨下方运行，小时线上附图MACD快慢线上穿0轴，红色能量柱放量，KDJ发散向下运行；从4小时图来看，均线系统呈空头趋势运行，5Daily moving average and10日均线向上进行支撑，附图MACD快慢线金叉向上运行，红色能量柱放量运行，KDJ指标在向上发散运行，一诺大师建议操作上低多为主，高空做辅。

Qingxi Natural Gas Operation Strategy:

Strategy 1:4300附近空单进，止损40-80个点，目标：4200, breaking the limit and holding

Strategy 2:4111附近多单进，止损40-80个点，目标：4250, breaking the limit and holding

青西豆油技术分析：

回顾行情，上方空间已经打开，但是周五行情做部分的回调，行情再次站上中轨上方不下，从日线图来看近期豆油呈上升之势，K线于布林带中轨上方运行，并且持续破位高点，附图MACD快慢线金叉向上，红色能量柱放量，KDJ指标向上发散开，从4小时图来看，均线系统向上运行，附图MACD快慢线趋于粘合逐渐走平，红色能量柱缩量，KDJ指标开始向下发散，小时图来看，布林带中轨一线已经开始承压，附图MACD快慢线向下随时交叉，若不破位且能向上布局回调，一诺大师建议操作上逢低做多，空单做辅助即可。

青西豆油操作策略：

策略一：下方关注6666点位破位情况，若不破，在6670点位附近多单进场，止损40spot-80Point, target6720nearby

策略二：上方关注6700点位破位情况，若破位，在6690点位附近空单进场，止损40-80Point, target6666nearby

The market does not prohibit us from making mistakes, but rather requires us to know our mistakes and be able to change them. Making a mistake does not mean losing control, letting go does not mean letting go, losing control makes it difficult to recover, and letting go leads to going with the flow. The market is fair to every investor. A magnificent fall is better than meaningless wandering, because a momentary loss can lead to a loss of confidence in the market that was once full of expectations, or dissatisfaction with one's own teacher. Here, I want to tell everyone that choice is greater than effort, and character determines fate. Therefore, the road ahead is not easy to stop. The market is a place where the strong spread their ambitions, and the weak find it difficult to move forward. The size of the heart determines the size of the stage. The past is irreparable, and in the future, I will work with you to expand our horizons and achieve success.

writing\一诺大师v\jgtq888

(Note: The above article is original by Master Yinuo. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Master Yinuo kindly reminds that there are risks in investment and caution should be exercised when entering the market. The above only represents my personal opinion and is not used as a basis for operation. Therefore, I will bear the risks of operation based on this.)