Li Wanxi:8month8Analysis of operating strategies and points for spot crude oil next Monday

Li Wanxi:8month8goods in stockcrude oilOperation strategy and point analysis for next Monday in Qing Dynasty

Friday(8month5day)The US non farm payroll data closely monitored by the market has ended with a beautiful performance. At a time when expectations of easing from major central banks around the world, such as the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Reserve of Australia, are intensifying, only the Federal Reserve is still exploring interest rate hikes. The strong non-agricultural data this time has changed recentlyGDPThe haze of weak data has significantly increased the expectation of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates within the year. When making investments, the most difficult thing to grasp is to enter and exit the market, choose a good teacher, and have a good team that will bring lifelong benefits, no more losses, and reduce hedging. Our common goal is to achieve win-win results. Welcome to follow Li Wanxi Weixinjs6486。

In terms of crude oil, the factor of short covering continued to support oil prices, but the significant strengthening of the US dollar also limited the increase in oil prices. Oil prices remained volatile and trading, basically closing flat.

From the current oil market situation, it seems that the bulls are not as strong as imagined, but they have also broken the curse of continuous decline in oil prices. At present, the supply and demand of crude oil in the market are gradually approaching balance, with bulls leaning towards one side. In this situation, investors need to be wary of the emergence of a "violent pull up" situation, especially when the fundamentals are gradually improving and the size of short positions is experiencing extreme situations. The current low oil price situation is unsustainable, as oil prices have returned to levels that could bankrupt most producers in the oil industry. Although there are few fundamentals, the information released last weekCFTCThe data shows that hedge funds have increased their short positions in US crude oil to the highest level on record in a week, which actually suggests a rebound in short covering.

Technically speaking, from an hourly trend chart, international crude oilBOLLThe three tracks of indicators are upward,KThe line indicator operates within the Bollinger Bands upper track channel, butMACDThe indicators of fast and slow line adhesion, kinetic energy red column shrinkage, andKDJThe indicator's dead cross diverges downwards, and the bulls lack strength in the short term. Focus on key resistance levels above41.9Key support position below41.0Overall, the author expects the market to first decline and then rise in the later period.

Suggestions for spot crude oil operation

　　1.40.5-40.7USD multiple entry, stop loss0.4Points, target41.5-42Near USD;

　　2.41.8-41.9USD short order entry, stop loss0.4Points, target40.7Around the US dollar.

Suggestions for spot asphalt operation:

　　1.Asphalt Price4000Long on the front line, stop loss35Point, look at the target4100;

　　2.Asphalt price rebound4120Short nearby, stop loss35Point, look at the target4050。

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