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Su Qianqin:7month12日供应过剩一触即发,原油沥青走势分析及布局策略

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  OPEC6月份产量大增,外媒根据船运数据和行业信息调查随着尼日利亚、伊朗、伊拉克等海湾成员国产量的扩大,6monthOPEC产量或上升至328210000 barrels/Day, exceeding1月份的日产量3265万桶,伊拉克6monthcrude oil日产量在56万桶,出口量达到1500万桶,原油市场供应过剩的状况一触即发。如果您的投资任处于迷茫之中,可以问我一薇芯xly645,多一份建议就多一份参考,但凡有什么问题,我也会一一为您解答。需求高峰期,亚洲消耗量表现不佳。产量扩大,供给增加,在季节性消费高峰期的需求不旺,原油再遇供给过剩的局面,原油承压回落,但受到尼日利亚输油管道关闭及库欣库存下降的影响,油价跌幅受限。

  本周欧佩克将公布月度原油市场报告、IEA公布月度原油市场报告,以及美联储官员发表言论,原油受自身供求影响及美元指数影响,走势表现将更为强劲。笔者建议投资者短线交易为主,坚守纪律,严格止盈止损。

  现货沥青从技术面上看,布林通道扩口运行,中轨和下轨道倾斜下行,日K线逼近布林下轨道运行,收一根长头光脚的小阴线,上方压力较大,空头力度较大。MACD双线跌破零轴向下运行,绿柱拉长,中线空头市场逐渐形成,空方力量大增。KDJ死叉后扩口下行,短线偏空。综合看,现货沥青中线有转空迹象,短线偏空走势较强,日内交易可逢高或逢反弹沽空。现货沥青更多咨询、操作请加笔者薇芯xly645--给您更中肯的建议,最精准的操作。

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