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Li Wanxi:6month15day(Wednesday)EIARisk avoidance is imminent,crude oilAsphalt will emerge from five consecutive yin
The news of Brexit has also made oil prices uncomfortable. After British gambling companies lowered the odds of Brexit, the market's expectations for Brexit have increased, and the market's risk warnings for the euro have also increased. If the UK exits the eurozone, the European economy will fall into recession, significantly reducing local crude oil demand, and the euro will also fall, thus dragging down oil prices. And according toTNSThe latest results from online polls show that the support rate for Brexit in the UK is47%Support rate for staying in Europe40%. Avoiding risks in the eurozone is urgent.
In recent years, Russia has only seen a way out for energy amidst its economic downturn. Both natural gas and crude oil production are steadily increasing.3The monthly crude oil production once touched near30The highest in the past year109110000 barrels/Day. Russian crude oil production has continued to shock the market in the past decade, from the lowest level before600Ten thousand barrels per day skyrocketed to over ten million barrels per day. Whether it will rise or fall depends on tonightEIAData, add Li Wanxi's strength WeChat group:js6486Experts from various parties predict that its production will decline, but it has not happened yet.
At present, the market is on the path of balancing supply and demand, all of which are due to wildfire disruptions in Nigeria, Canada, and a decrease in active drilling platforms in the United States. Today, there is a trend of increasing active platforms in the United States. After the impact of the interruption event ends and normal production resumes, the market may continue to face a situation of oversupply.
Technically, US crude oil daily chart,4Lianyin, inAPIAfter the data was released, there was a sharp decline, with most of the physical entities being slightly bearish. Today, the market continued to decline.5The daily moving average runs continuously downwards10Day,20Daily moving average.
4Hourly chart, after a significant decline,20The daily moving average tends to fall through100Daily moving average. The author's suggestion for today's crude oil asphalt operation is to continue short selling.
Specific operational strategies:
1.US crude oil:47.9-48Short selling near the US dollar and closing profit47.5--47.1Stop loss48.3dollar
2.Ninggui asphalt4585Going long nearby Stop loss35Points Target View4640
3.In the evening, we mainly focus on crude oilEIAInventory data,EIA Seemingly a business opportunity, but in reality, it is a trap. We need to grasp the market situation and accurately place orders
The situation has been set up, and no matter what platform you are on, you can add Li Wanxi's strength to guide Weixin skirt in crude oil, silver, and asphaltjs6486, only
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