【 Liangcai Dianjin 】 Non agricultural data is on the rise, and you deserve to have a medium to long term layout

WednesdayEIA库存虽然上涨280万桶，但是美国国内产量却出现单周下降11万桶（一般单月下降约10万桶）数据。要是按照过去两个半月的市场习惯，整个市场的主流资金将会自动屏蔽EIA库存上涨的利空消息，并且将会放大产量单周降幅达到月平均降幅这个利多信息。不过周三的市场变得理性许多，完全失去了过去两个半月那种从盘面就可以看出来的做多动力。再次，周三crude oil在涨跌幅度很小的情况下出现放量，WTIclosing quotation43.78dollar/桶相比周二收盘43.65dollar/桶略微上涨13美分，有比较大的可能是前期的大批在40美元上方进场的做多投机资金开始真正撤出，而部分在高位的做空的资金则开始买入平仓获利。


据报道加拿大艾伯塔省（Alberta）麦克默里堡（Fort McMurray）近日发生大火，火势仍在蔓延之中。目前该城市的六万居民已被疏散。失控的野火已经包围了加拿大的油砂地区，并导致当地原油产量下降，为周三的油价提供一定支撑。但整体而言，亚洲和美国的经济势头减弱都对原油市场造成了压力。此外，伊拉克、委内瑞拉和利比亚等均出现威胁原油供应的严重事件，投行纷纷上调油价预估。非农，每个月的定时炸弹即将引爆,是烟花般的美丽,还是地雷般的吓人?持续清淡的贵金属市场能否借助非农这股能量不再延续这死水般的波动，每个月，这是属于你我共同的日子，无论在过去的交易中如何，所有博弈的人们，也是改写最近投资历史的绝挂机会，趋势是造就财富的基础，若你对趋势视而不见，那么你注定将与财富无缘。市场发的福利，岂有不领之理。永远记住，你不是一个人在战斗，在投资市场，只要你一旦踏上趋势的列车，那么接下来你只需做一件事，就是等待收钱，没有什么事比错过一次机会更让人沮丧，同时也没有什么事比抓住机会更幸运。固执不是任性的资本，只有顺势才是获利的开始。机会一旦出现，你若继续迟疑，必将失去整个江山。看对做不对那是因为不相信，做对拿不住那是因为不够坚定。既然选择做投资，那就要培养像狮子一样傲视群雄的个性，而非像老鼠一样诚惶诚恐的生性，你若坚强，世界都会给你让路，你若懦弱，世间处处都是牢笼。我常说，这个市场就是一半人笑另一半，过去的非农我们一次次抓住了属于自己的利润，这一次，也绝对不会例外!


【非农做单手法】

方法一

在非农来之前进一锁仓单，这对锁仓单你可以通过看5Minute line, relatively low long, relatively high short. If this is possible, there will be some profit first, and handling fees will be charged. If you feel that this is more troublesome, you can directly lock the warehouse receipt and then wait until the news is released3There are two methods after about minutes1:给这两单各设3Stop loss at one point,6Stop earning at one point. Once the news passes, usually both orders will be cancelled. After removing the handling fee, you will have approximately29Space of points, methods2Both orders are only set to stop earnings based on the expected situation in the news5-8A range of points is set. After the message is received, one order is cancelled and the other order can be closed according to the situation. Only in cases where the data is very good and very bad, can it go into a unilateral market, and even if it goes out of the unilateral market, there will be a pullback.

折叠方法二

Bidirectional order placement, before the release of non-agricultural data3Minute at current price3Hang one or more orders at the current price3Hang an empty order below one point, set it up before hanging it up3Profit from individual points.(Different currency pairs have different points)After one transaction is completed, delete another order that has not been completed. If the data doesn't have that much impact, it won't be able to3What about the profit of each point?Then manually close the position when you feel weak in the upward attack.

折叠方法三

Approximately before the announcement of the news3Make an order according to the expected message in minutes, and make an order in the same direction as the expected message. Set a stop loss and stop loss ratio, usually at least at2:1Using small losses to gain big profits, this type of non agricultural success can generally guarantee capital after three attempts.

折叠方法四

We need to wait for the impact of non-agricultural data before placing an order. Based on the actual situation of the message, we can make a callback or take advantage of the callback to follow the trend, combined with the Bollinger BandsRSIOperation.

此四法操作关键是对此重大消息对原油影响点数的大致预测，通过此预测设止盈;对止损只要确保在消息公布前不被打掉就行:还有设止盈止损点时间，离消息公布越近越好，同时又要确保把所有该设的全部设完越靠近消息公布设止损的可以相对设少点。


目前主要用以上这四种方法做非农与重大消息。运用巧妙的话，可以在比较小的风险获得一定的收益。但这四法一定要在满足资金管理法则的前提下运用。方法只是在常规下总结不排除些特殊意外建议谨慎运用，现货原油投资也是多半看缘分，如果你相信缘分，相信我可以用心为你做点什么，你可以试着和我交流一下。本人从事金融行业多年。投资是一个完整体系包括投资理念，投资心态，资金管理，风险控制，投资策略，操作手法与思路。目前本人专注于原油沥青、铜等现货投资，有交流需要的朋友， 与凤凰同飞，必是俊鸟；与虎狼同行，必是猛兽！你能走多远，看你与谁同行！成功,不是赢过多少人,而是帮过多少人！
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