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Li Wanxi:5month2晚评现货沥青crude oilanalysis+Operation suggestions
This post will be updated daily based on the market situation!Here is a solution for situations where friends may make operational errors in the daily market!Can add author's authorityjs6486。 Message surface parsing:
EIA报告显示,除却战略储备的商业原油库存上周增加199.910000 barrels to5.406Billion barrels, growth rate0.4%,刷历史新高;除却战略储备的商业原油上周进口75510000 barrels/Day, reduced from the previous week63.710000 barrels/day;美国原油产品四周平均供应量为1997.810000 barrels/Day, increased compared to the same period last year4.0%。上周美国国内原油产量减少1.510000 barrels to893.810000 barrels/日,连续三周录得90010000 barrels/日关口下方。数据公布后,美油、布油双双短线走低。
尽管当日早间API原油库存下滑110万桶推升日内WTI油价一度突破45dollar/桶关口,但是EIA原油库存情况却截然相反,当周原油库存大增200万桶,汽油及库欣地区库存同样出现大幅增加,对油价造成打压,抵消API带来的利好因素。
Analysis of spot asphalt technology:(The trend of crude oil and asphalt is consistent)
日线图上看,单边上涨势头有告一段落的迹象,经过周五的冲高回落,日K线收得一根上下引线等长的阴线,那么这样的收线行情将暂时告别继续冲高的态势。
盘面来看,布林带持续开口向上,K线紧靠布林上轨运行;均线方面,各级别依次排列向上,但当前K线已严重偏离5日均线,且配合周五收得的阴线来看,李宛晰认为油价短期内存在一定的回调可能。MACD指标快慢金叉向上持续放量,红色能量柱增强态势不减;RSI金叉运行但已触及上轨,目前出现小幅拐头迹象;KDJ金叉运行,但开口角度已经极度收缩,力度较之前明显偏弱,且三线高度粘合,呈现死叉之势从四小时线看,沥青价格持续沿布林中轨支撑保持震荡上行态势,在劳动节前再一次拿下一块高地至4500一线,此后涨幅出现回吐迹象跌破短期均线回测至中轨支撑附近,短线回踩属于大涨后的回调需求,而技术指标依旧处于多头放量,整体上四小时级别依旧呈多头。
从小时线看,价格在沿布林中轨支撑震荡上行至上轨4500一线后开始受阻并大幅回落,在跌破中轨支撑后回踩至下轨获得支撑反弹。当前价格保持在小时线中轨及下轨之间运行,而附图指标MACD死叉持续放量,
今日下方短线支撑首先关注4370一线,重点关注4320-4340区域支撑,上方短线阻力关注4480-4500区域,李宛晰认为今日操作思路先逢高做空为主。 现货沥青晚间操作建议: 1.Above asphalt4440Entry empty order, stop loss45Points, target4380 2 .Please add the author for specific ordering pointsV/Letter:js6486 2.Below asphalt4370Multiple entry orders, stop loss45Points, target4440-4460