汉声集团：黄金行情上涨！因“小非农”不及预期

Last night8月美国“小非农”数据不及市场预期，美元下跌回落，现货gold涨最高至4397.70dollar/Ounces, final settlement4387.99dollar/Ounces, up1.38%，结束此前连续三日跌势

today(Thursday)现货黄金开盘在4391.12dollar/Ounces, minimum4381.01dollar/盎司，早盘金价延续上涨并重返4400美元关口上方，最高至4432.00dollar/ounce! In the morning, the Shanghai Gold Exchange showed that954.28element/Ke, the Han Sheng Gold Investment Platform of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange is displayed on4425dollar/Running around ounces.

U.S.A8monthADPEmployment numbers 3.8Ten thousand people, expected4.8Ten thousand people, previous value4.410000 people.

U.S.A8monthADP私营部门就业人数不及市场预期，创下今年1月以来最慢增速。由于制造业与专业服务业表现疲软，招聘市场整体走弱，且低薪岗位薪资增长已失去动能。

although“小非农”数据疲软，有分析称，只要薪资增速不出现崩塌式下滑，美联储在制定政策时仍会采取综合权衡的策略。昨晚“小非农”数据公布后，金融市场反应相对克制，美元指数与现货黄金短线波动不大。

according toCME“美联储观察”数据显示，美联储到9The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is37.7%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is62.3%。美联储到10The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is27.2%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is55.5%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is17.2%。

具有美联储永久投票权的“三把手”纽约联储主席威廉姆斯表示，近期数据显示美国通胀正在缓慢降温，随着关税影响逐渐消退，价格压力有望进一步缓解；与此同时，中东冲突推高的能源价格尚未明显向其他服务领域扩散。

昨晚美联储褐皮书显示，过去两个月美国经济活动温和增长，数据中心需求表现尤为突出。但能源价格和地缘政治带来的不确定性，使不同行业的信心表现存在差异。大多数美联储辖区的物价呈现温和加速上涨，全国就业人数略有增加。

日内看点建议：

先观察金价在4390-4460区间震荡运行的态势，如突破该区间时上行目标则可看4470-4480, or4495附近；下行则看4380-4365, or4350Near.

Attached is the gold trend chart:

文章来源香港黄金交易所·汉声集团官网以及汉声金业APP摘取整理后发表，转载著明来源。

Kind reminder: The gold market fluctuates greatly, and there are risks involved in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.